That Upcoming Florida Tropical Storm

Today, the NOGAPS model suggests this disturbance will turn into a tropical storm, pass through the Florida Keys, and be at Tampa's doorstep by next Wednesday, before heading north for landfall near Pensacola.

On the other hand, the GFS model suggests the tropical storm will head north after passing into the Bahamas, and miss Florida entirely.

We'll see what happens. It's still early yet....