Raking Florida's West Coast

The forecasts are now very much in agreement regarding an eastern Gulf of Mexico path for Fay. The NOGAPS model brings Fay uncomfortably close to Tampa - just west of the city - by Tuesday morning. The GFS model brings Fay directly into Tampa by Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. In any event, these forecasts are just too close together for comfort. The storm is just too far south to make the eastern Florida path likely.