Wednesday, October 06, 2010

Flagstaff Early-Morning Oct. 6th Sounding

Well, that's instructive!

Flagstaff's early-morning sounding of Oct. 6th was quite humid almost all the way up, but not so humid as to bar conditional instability (nice hydrolapse there)!

CAPE of around 300 J/kg, at this time, with an equivalent CAPE at lower elevation Tucson of about 1,150 J/kg, which is less than some of the numbers like 5,000 or 6,000 you sometimes see in Oklahoma. You see, you really do need that extra layer of warm, moist air near the surface to get the massive, killer tornadoes, but maybe CAPE of 300 is good enough to kick around an unprepared place like Bellemont, Arizona.

Level of free convection was about 680 mb, with an equilibrium level of about 330 mb - nice, deep convection there!

Ha! Can't calculate K-index because the lowest-reporting level is 786 mb, and 850 mb is required.

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