Tropical Update

Forecasts are beginning to diverge! GFS still picks Mobile, AL, as the landfall location for Gustav, on Monday, but NOGAPS thinks landfall will be somewhere in the Corpus Christi/Houston area, on Wednesday. Worse, NOGAPS suggests a Texas landfall on Wednesday and a Thursday landfall in SE Florida (Coral Springs) by the hurricane AFTER Gustav.

Since Gustav is currently a bit farther south than where the forecasts initialize it, I suspect it really will go to Texas. So that means, for Tampa, the next weather problem is likely to be the storm AFTER Gustav…..