Saturday, August 26, 2017

Harvey Will Take Its Time

Now that Harvey is ashore, it's weakening, and forward movement is slowing down. The next question is when its forward movement stalls and reverses, and the storm starts heading south again.

The loop is now forecast to be bigger than was forecast before, so as it weakens it may go back towards Brownsville again, crossing the coast into the Gulf (12 noon, Monday, August 28th). Once it's over the water again, Harvey will strengthen for its second landfall, coming ashore perhaps near Galveston (6 a.m., Saturday September 2nd), with a subsequent march towards Texarkana.

Note this forecast suggests the storm's progress is slowing down. It's likely Harvey will be in and around Texas for more than a week. Harvey is just getting started....

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