Marking Time With Isaac

Today, no real appreciable changes, so far. The storm’s organization has improved somewhat. They moved the low pressure center farther south, as I expected they might, but then they angled the path more sharply to the north, meaning no real difference to the Tampa forecast. I still think the path will be more westerly than they are giving credit for, giving Tampa a better margin of safety, but we’ll see. In any event, the rightward kick has not happened. The storm did not skip across Hispaniola, or do any of the more interesting things they suspected it might. I don’t expect it will. Right now, it’s just south of Haiti. I think it’ll graze past the north shore of Jamaica and run into Cuba. Then, things get complicated again, with all the land interactions. But no surprises, so far.