Saturday, December 18, 2021

Covid-19 Apocalypse Now


It looks like it's the calm before the Covid-19 storm here in the U.S. Omicron is coming! Omicron is just as infectious as Measles, heretofore the most-infectious disease known to mankind. 
The wave of Delta infections in central and northern Europe is finally waning, as represented on this graph by the Netherlands. Nevertheless, despite improved rates, the Dutch are going into immediate lockdown, because they expect Omicron to start hitting them very soon. In the UK, where Covid-19 rates have been unacceptably high all year, rates are suddenly accelerating, likely due to Omicron. 

It's astonishing how quickly Omicron slammed South Africa. Exponential growth is fearsome to behold! As recently as Thanksgiving, there was very little Covid-19 in all of South Africa. Now, South Africa Covid-19 rates have climbed as high as those in the United States. Suddenly, everyone sickened! 

The United States has been on a high but eerily-calm Covid-19 plateau for the past two weeks. If Omicron slams the U.S. as hard as people fear, things will deteriorate so fast that it will break the U.S. health care system, perhaps as soon as the end of January.


Update: Omicron is spreading with astonishing speed. At Thanksgiving it was beginning to spread from Johannesburg, South Africa. Last week, 70% of new cases in the U.S. were Omicron (in purple). By New Year’s, Delta variant will be essentially gone; thoroughly outcompeted by Omicron. Not even forest fires spread this fast.

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