Still Worried About Hanna

This morning, the NOGAPS forecast was just about the worst forecast I had ever seen for Tampa: Hanna hitting the Miami area on Friday, and crossing the state to hit Tampa, followed in a week by Ike following almost the exact same path across Miami to hit Tampa.

Tonight, the forecast is slightly better, with Hanna hitting Jacksonville (and subsequently making a direct hit on Aiken, SC), and only Ike making a direct hit on Tampa.

Meaning that, despite news tonight that Hanna is weakening over Haiti, it still is a major hazard that must be carefully watched. Same with Ike; same with Josephine.

Tonight, GFS forecasts Hanna will hit Myrtle Beach, SC, on Friday. Since the storm is currently disorganized, it’s hard to say for sure which landfall point it will be.