Tuesday, February 07, 2006

Weak La Niña, Strong Drought

The climate people blame La Niña:
THERE IS WIDESPREAD CONSENSUS AMONG DYNAMICAL MODELS FOR BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION OVER LARGE PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE CONUS FOR FMA 2006. CCA... ECCA AND SMLR FORECASTS ALSO SUPPORT THE FORECAST FOR BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CONUS. THE STRONGEST INDICATIONS ARE OVER THE SOUTHWEST... IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS... AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST.
Meanwhile, January temperatures in the Lower 48 were the warmest ever recorded. It's not global warming so much at work here, it's just that January wind patterns effectively prevented arctic air from entering the Great Plains and points south. But the effect was very striking - practically a balmy January in Fargo, N.D.

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