Hurricane Otis

Hey, Bruce, check it out, a hurricane named after you!

Hurricane Otis is moving in an Arizona direction. Rainfall in SE AZ is forecast to be heavy, but very narrowly focused, and won't last very long (starting Sunday night, and through Monday: Tucson, AZ and Gallup, NM will see rain, but Phoenix, AZ probably won't see much, if any).

Meanwhile, the Caribbean is active. The current forecast shows a tropical storm developing from thunderstorms from Columbia/Panama, and heading almost straight north, passing over Cuba, and finding itself in the Bahamas, about six days from now (when the model runs ends). The forecast also shows a split flow developing in the westerlies over the Great Plains about that time, which means that the future direction of the storm becomes increasingly uncertain (as if the path wasn't uncertain enough, six days out). It will be awkward if there's a tropical storm just east of Florida, uncertain about which way to go. It will be important to keep an eye on this.

Plus, it will be quite rainy along the coast of the Carolinas early next week....