Wednesday, September 28, 2005

Arizona Flooding?

Today's forecast shows the Caribbean quieting down a bit, but still remaining rather active. We'll have to keep our eyes on that area. One possibility is that a thunderstorm complex from northern Columbia might fire things up there in about a week's time (I haven't seen that before - usually the storms come in from the Antilles - but it's certainly plausible).

The western Atlantic is less active, but should also be watched.

The most interesting possibility is that a Hurricane (currently called Tropical Depression 15-E, currently SW of Manzanillo, Colima) is making a lunge towards Arizona, the outliers of which would arrive about Tuesday morning, and the rest about a day later. This could be exciting, because disintegrating hurricanes occasionally cause stupendous flooding there (I was in Tucson around October 1, 1983, when Hurricane Octave broke up, and it was AMAZING!) In any event, we need to start watching for that!

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