Sunday, August 14, 2022

Outlook So Far For The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The Pacific hurricane season this year seems normal, but the Atlantic hurricane season so far has been mighty weak. There are at least two reasons for that. Several storms nearly reached tropical storm status in the southern Caribbean in early July, but were shredded to pieces against the land masses of Central America. The Madden-Julian oscillation along the equator, which is good for igniting hurricanes, has all-but-vanished for the last two months. It's weird, all this inactivity, but it's good. 

Nevertheless, the very-long-range forecasts suggest tropical storm activity will increase in early September. So, we'll snooze for now, and reconvene later when the Atlantic gets a pulse.

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