Wednesday, June 08, 2016

The Geographic Pattern of Clinton's Victory in California

I'm surprised by Hillary Clinton's margin over Bernie Sanders in yesterday's primary. It appears to be mostly the Hispanic community breaking for her. Bernie wins big among the young, but as evident in the Southern primaries, and Texas too, Bernie has trouble connecting to electorates with large minority populations. I suppose it's better the devil you know than the devil you don't.

Interesting also, the geographic breakdown. The hypothetical State of Jefferson in northern California broke for Sanders, as did the opposite side of the Sierras, but that wasn't enough to win. Similar tendencies were evident in the Nevada caucus results, with the north breaking for Sanders and the south for Clinton. And the location of the divide is of interest too. Yuba County went for Sanders, but Sutter County went for Clinton. That's probably the effect of Yuba Community College right there.

In any event, my overriding goal is not to live ever again under a GOP President, and I'll reluctantly support Hillary even if Bernie runs as a Green. The chance of breaking the GOP for good in 2016 is too alluring to resist. Younger folks have a longer time horizon, and can endure all sorts of indignities on the path of life, but if I have to put up with eight years of a Trump Presidency, I'll cry.

No comments:

Post a Comment