First Alert

The NOGAPS weather computer model sometimes jumps the gun and forecasts tropical storms that never come to pass, so I’m hoping it’s nothing. Nevertheless, NOGAPS’ latest forecast is quite alarming – a direct hit on Tampa, and all the coast of western Florida, in a week’s time. Time to start keeping an eye on the southern Caribbean!

Right now, the southern Caribbean is stormy, in general, so it’s quite plausible a tropical storm could evolve from all that. Nevertheless, there is no sign at the instant that a tropical storm exists, or will exist there.

Here’s hoping this is all a false alarm…..