Tropical Forecast

Currently, the NOGAPS computer model is suggesting some tropical storm development off the South Carolina coast this weekend, with the resulting storminess not coming ashore, but heading NE into the open Atlantic next week. Since NOGAPS tends to overestimate the tendency for tropical storms to initiate, we will have to see whether that actually occurs. So, no anticipated threat there, maybe just general storminess, but just something to keep an eye on.

NOGAPS is also suggesting that a tropical storm or hurricane will be approaching the Antilles from the east, from the tropical Atlantic, by the middle of next week, following the trail laid by Dean.

Last I saw of Dean, yesterday, it had become part of, and indistinguishable from, the mid-latitude circulation, and was busy kicking up thunderstorms in southern Utah.