Monday, July 24, 2006

Tropical Storm Emilia

Off the western Mexican coast, perhaps eventually affecting California humidity and storm potential:
EMILIA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND OVER WARM WATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST INDICATES STRENGTHENING...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR EMILIA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. THEREAFTER...EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATER AND INTO MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT AND INDUCE RAPID WEAKENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND INDICATES THAT EMILIA WILL BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 4 DAYS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE ABOVE THE SHIPS MODEL FORECAST FOR THE FIRST 36 HOURS...BUT IS SIMILAR TO SHIPS DURING THE WEAKENING PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

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