![](http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8HZjlqIfpUU/TbChS7IksRI/AAAAAAAAMig/GqcTv8Y8F9Y/s400/Hurricane_track_error.png)
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I thought it was interesting that the NHC isn't as impressed as I am with the U.S. Navy's NOGAPS modeling system. It's true, NOGAPS is pretty-bad with intensity predictions (in forecasts, NOGAPS often nucleates hurricanes that often turn out never to occur), but I think NOGAPS track forecasts are to die for! (Bad phraseology - NOGAPS track forecasts are not to die for. You know what I mean - great forecasts!)
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