So far, Irma is following the modeled forecast path towards Tampa very closely. The eye will pass very close to Key West in a few hours. I'm impressed by the tug of the trough along the East Coast, trying to drag Irma north. Even though Irma likely will pass near Tampa, there is still an outside chance Irma might swing up Florida's east coast, or follow the peninsula straight up. Some possibilities are still open.
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