Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Duh!

Comes as no surprise. Heck, even my eyes glaze over regarding the details of other countries' politics.

Nevertheless, some foreigners do pay acute attention to our political system, since it impacts them quite acutely. I believe John once told the story of how he was in Ireland, round-about 1980, and a random stranger he met at a train station went on a disquisition about how the various American states voted in the Electoral College in the 1976 Ford/Carter election, and was even able to enumerate New Mexico's vote for Ford (notable, because it was the first time NM had not voted for the election winner since statehood in 1912). Freaked John out! I mean, how many people here know the details of even the most recent Irish election?
Two-thirds of US adults admit to being in the dark about political issues outside the United States, and only a third are well-versed in US politics, the results of a poll published Tuesday showed.

Candidates in the US presidential primaries "may have their work cut out for them as they work to get people interested in the election," wrote the Harris Poll group, which surveyed 2,225 adults between July 6 and 13 for the poll.

...Global political knowledge was miniscule, with just three percent of women and 14 percent of men saying they are extremely knowledgeable on world politics.

One reason for the knowledge gap is lack of interest, according to the poll.

"Well over half (57 percent) say they do not like learning about political issues in other countries," and 32 percent expressed a lack of interest for homespun politics, the Harris Poll group said.
Save The Hairy Dogs Of Summer

My name is Sparky, and I must humbly appeal for your help. Just look at me! This is my demented master's idea of a proper coiffure for summer. As you can see, the ragged short hair makes mock of my traditional, Germanic long-haired Pomeranian heritage. I'm embarrassed for myself, and as a result, I cannot walk the streets until late at night, when no one can see.

Please, let my master know this injustice must not continue. Despite his dark mutterings about cleanliness and comfort, his abuse of my heritage cannot be permitted.

Won't you please help?
Yeah, But Is It Popular?

Some stats regarding "High School Musical 2":
Told you this would be big. That peppy little monster, "High School Musical 2," exploded in the ratings last week and became the most-watched show on cable ever.

There you go, a major record and no steroids involved. The sequel to Disney Channel's über- popular "High School Musical" drew 17.2 million viewers and showed just what can happen when there's a beat you can dance to.

"HSM2," which is what you call it, by the way, was also the most-watched show on all television all summer, going all the way back to the final week of the TV season in May. And there's more.

It was the most-watched TV show in history by kids ages 6 to 11 -- an important demographic if you sell toys or breakfast cereal -- and it was the most-watched entertainment TV show in history for 'tweens, ages 9 to 14. The only TV event ever to draw more 'tweens was the 2004 Super Bowl.
Stepping On The Story Line

I'm not sure I like this emerging narrative that a homeless person might have set the UP trestle alight last March as revenge for harrassment for camping along the American River:
A source close to the probe, who does not wish to be identified because he is not authorized to speak publicly on the subject, said Moran-Marques told other homeless people that he set the fire in retaliation for police and park ranger harassment of transients and frequent raids on transient camps, some of which are near the trestle.

Sacramento County spokeswoman Chris Andis said park rangers have cited Moran-Marques several times for camping in the American River Parkway, although it doesn't appear he has been cited this year. Andis said one of the citations was for camping on the south side of the American River near Northgate Boulevard, about a mile from the trestle, which is on the north side of the river.

The March 15 fire, which sent a plume of black smoke billowing thousands of feet into the air, interrupted freight and passenger rail service throughout the area. It consumed heavy-duty trestle timber and tracks west of the Capital City Freeway near Cal Expo.

Thursday's indictment charges Moran-Marques with lying when he was questioned on May 15 as to where he was "at or about the time of the commencement of a fire that occurred on March 15, 2007, in the Arden area of Sacramento."
I felt that the trestle fire was a genuine act of terrorism, calculated to make maximum impact during the evening rush hour commute along the Capitol City Freeway. Well, I suppose "retaliation for police and park ranger harassment of transients and frequent raids on transient camps" might be construed as political, but it also might be petty, or just demented.

Somehow, I hope it's not true....
Centennial Anniversary

Of the bra:
THE humble bra, which revolutionised the way women dressed, this year celebrates its 100th birthday.

Branded the "brassiere" by fashion bible Vogue in 1907, the invention has undergone many changes from the flat-chested flappers of the 1920s, to bra-burning ceremonies of the '60s and Madonna's cone shaped bustiers of the '80s.

...Do women know how to wear a bra correctly?

"You should be having your bra fitted every 12 months and have at least three bras to choose from," Ms Cimmino said.

"Always consider what bra is best when you are getting dressed as they can really make or break an outfit."

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

New Frontier Of Porn

It was inevitable:
Second scene: A beautiful Filipino doctor pays a house call to Cheney, who asks: "What happened to Dr. Wu?"

"His son died in Iraq," she says.

"Well, at least he died for a good cause."

"Freedom?" she says.

"Oil," says Cheney. They commence to humping.
Frozen Smoke, And Its Uses

This article came out several days ago regarding the uses of aerogels, materials so lightweight, yet nevertheless with some flexibility and strength, that people call them 'frozen smoke'.

New materials are fun!:
A MIRACLE material for the 21st century could protect your home against bomb blasts, mop up oil spillages and even help man to fly to Mars.

Aerogel, one of the world’s lightest solids, can withstand a direct blast of 1kg of dynamite and protect against heat from a blowtorch at more than 1,300C.

Scientists are working to discover new applications for the substance, ranging from the next generation of tennis rackets to super-insulated space suits for a manned mission to Mars.

It is expected to rank alongside wonder products from previous generations such as Bakelite in the 1930s, carbon fibre in the 1980s and silicone in the 1990s. Mercouri Kanatzidis, a chemistry professor at Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, said: “It is an amazing material. It has the lowest density of any product known to man, yet at the same time it can do so much. I can see aerogel being used for everything from filtering polluted water to insulating against extreme temperatures and even for jewellery.”

Aerogel is nicknamed “frozen smoke” and is made by extracting water from a silica gel, then replacing it with gas such as carbon dioxide. The result is a substance that is capable of insulating against extreme temperatures and of absorbing pollutants such as crude oil.

It was invented by an American chemist for a bet in 1931, but early versions were so brittle and costly that it was largely consigned to laboratories. It was not until a decade ago that Nasa started taking an interest in the substance and putting it to a more practical use.

In 1999 the space agency fitted its Stardust space probe with a mitt packed full of aerogel to catch the dust from a comet’s tail. It returned with a rich collection of samples last year.

In 2002 Aspen Aerogel, a company created by Nasa, produced a stronger and more flexible version of the gel. It is now being used to develop an insulated lining in space suits for the first manned mission to Mars, scheduled for 2018.

Mark Krajewski, a senior scientist at the company, believes that an 18mm layer of aerogel will be sufficient to protect astronauts from temperatures as low as -130C. “It is the greatest insulator we’ve ever seen,” he said.

Aerogel is also being tested for future bombproof housing and armour for military vehicles. In the laboratory, a metal plate coated in 6mm of aerogel was left almost unscathed by a direct dynamite blast.

It also has green credentials. Aerogel is described by scientists as the “ultimate sponge”, with millions of tiny pores on its surface making it ideal for absorbing pollutants in water.

Kanatzidis has created a new version of aerogel designed to mop up lead and mercury from water. Other versions are designed to absorb oil spills.

...Earlier this year Bob Stoker, 66, from Nottingham, became the first Briton to have his property insulated with aerogel. “The heating has improved significantly. I turned the thermostat down five degrees. It’s been a remarkable transformation,” he said.

Mountain climbers are also converts. Last year Anne Parmenter, a British mountaineer, climbed Everest using boots that had aerogel insoles, as well as sleeping bags padded with the material. She said at the time: “The only problem I had was that my feet were too hot, which is a great problem to have as a mountaineer.”

However, it has failed to convince the fashion world. Hugo Boss created a line of winter jackets out of the material but had to withdraw them after complaints that they were too hot.

Although aerogel is classed as a solid, 99% of the substance is made up of gas, which gives it a cloudy appearance.

Scientists say that because it has so many millions of pores and ridges, if one cubic centimetre of aerogel were unravelled it would fill an area the size of a football field.

Its nano-sized pores can not only collect pollutants like a sponge but they also act as air pockets.
Next On The National Agenda

Of the conservative group Family Security Matters (funny how the original document seems to have gotten yanked, isn't it?):
However, President Bush has a valuable historical example that he could choose to follow.

When the ancient Roman general Julius Caesar was struggling to conquer ancient Gaul, he not only had to defeat the Gauls, but he also had to defeat his political enemies in Rome who would destroy him the moment his tenure as consul (president) ended.

Caesar pacified Gaul by mass slaughter; he then used his successful army to crush all political opposition at home and establish himself as permanent ruler of ancient Rome. This brilliant action not only ended the personal threat to Caesar, but ended the civil chaos that was threatening anarchy in ancient Rome – thus marking the start of the ancient Roman Empire that gave peace and prosperity to the known world.

If President Bush copied Julius Caesar by ordering his army to empty Iraq of Arabs and repopulate the country with Americans, he would achieve immediate results: popularity with his military; enrichment of America by converting an Arabian Iraq into an American Iraq (therefore turning it from a liability to an asset); and boost American prestiege while terrifying American enemies.

He could then follow Caesar's example and use his newfound popularity with the military to wield military power to become the first permanent president of America, and end the civil chaos caused by the continually squabbling Congress and the out-of-control Supreme Court.

President Bush can fail in his duty to himself, his country, and his God, by becoming “ex-president” Bush or he can become “President-for-Life” Bush: the conqueror of Iraq, who brings sense to the Congress and sanity to the Supreme Court. Then who would be able to stop Bush from emulating Augustus Caesar and becoming ruler of the world? For only an America united under one ruler has the power to save humanity from the threat of a new Dark Age wrought by terrorists armed with nuclear weapons.
Making My Brown Eyes Blue

This came out several days ago, and with my instantaneous brown-eyed reflexes, I instantaneously punched the monitor, but given my grave strategic-thinking deficit, it took me several days to get around to actually commenting about it:
PEOPLE with blue eyes are likely to achieve more in life than those with brown, say US scientists.

Scientists who conducted the tests said brown-eyed people performed better at reaction time, but those with lighter eyes appeared to be better strategic thinkers, the Daily Mail reported.

Brown-eyed people succeeded in activities such as football and hockey, but lighter-eyed participants proved to be more succesful in activities that required skills in time structuring and planning such as golf, cross-country running and studying for exams, the scientists said.

Louisville University professor Joanna Rowe, who conducted the tests, said the results suggested an unexplored link between eye colour and academic achievement.

"It is just observed, rather than explained," she said.
Hurricane Dean And The SW Monsoon

After having crossed the Yucatan Peninsula, Hurricane Dean's eye is just crossing back over water, this time over the Bay of Campeche, before hitting Mexico proper and dumping tons of rain on those steep mountain slopes.

Global interconnections are all. After having started off the west coast of Africa, the weather forecasts show that by Sunday, a lot of Dean's moisture will have worked its way up the western coast of Mexico, and will contribute to the thunderstorms of the desert monsoons of the American Southwest.

Monday, August 20, 2007

Rainbow Bridge

I saw this sentiment posted on the wall at La Riviera Animal Medical Center, and here is a Web Site featuring the same sentiment, which is particularly appropriate today:
Just this side of Heaven, is a place called Rainbow Bridge...

When an animal dies that has been especially close to someone here, that pet goes to Rainbow Bridge. There are meadows and hills for all of our special friends so they can run and play together. There is plenty of food and water and sunshine, and our friends are warm and comfortable. All the animals who had been ill and old are restored to health and vigor; those who were hurt or maimed are made whole and strong again, just as we remember them in our dreams of days and times gone by.

The animals are happy and content, except for one small thing: they miss someone very special to them; who had to be left behind.

They all run and play together, but the day comes when one suddenly stops and looks into the distance. The bright eyes are intent; the eager body quivers. Suddenly he begins to break away from the group, flying over the green grass, his legs carrying him faster and faster. YOU have been spotted, and when you and your special friend finally meet, you cling together in joyous reunion, never to be parted again. The happy kisses rain upon your face; your hands again caress the beloved head, and you look once more into the trusting eyes of your pet, so long gone from your life but never absent from your heart.

THEN YOU CROSS RAINBOW BRIDGE TOGETHER...
Just Sick

Not talking about myself....
Internet addiction should be grouped with extreme addictive disorders such as gambling, sex addiction and kleptomania, an Israeli psychiatrist said.

Dr. Pinhas Dannon of Tel Aviv University's Sackler Faculty of Medicine said 10 percent of Internet surfers are afflicted with "Internet addiction disorder," which can lead to anxiety and severe depression.

Internet addiction is classified by mental health professionals as an Obsessive Compulsive Disorder, a mild to severe mental health condition that results in an urge to engage in ritualistic thoughts and behavior.

"Internet addiction is not manifesting itself as an ‘urge.’ It’s more than that. It’s a deep ‘craving.’ And if we don’t make the change in the way we classify Internet addiction, we won’t be able to treat it in the proper way," Dannon said Friday in a release.

He said the two groups at greatest risk from Internet addiction disorder are teenagers and people in their mid-50s suffering from the loneliness of an empty nest.
Tropical Storm Erin Dumbfounds Oklahomans

John writes in from Oklahoma City:
I was in Wisconsin for a dealer show over the weekend and, as a result, missed an amazing meteorological event. Saturday night the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin, which caused minimal damage along the Texas coast, redeveloped over western Oklahoma. We have seen remnants of tropical storms and hurricanes--both Atlantic and Pacific--drift through here over the years, but this one was quite different. Normally the result of such an amorphous mass of clouds is extremely heavy rain, at times reaching 12 inches locally. This time the storm redeveloped into an actual hurricane complete with an eye in the middle of a classical spinning hurricane system. There were 60+ mph winds over most of the central and western part of the state and locally rainfall up to 14" in a few hours. Several towns now have massive flooding as a result. Anyway, you ought to take a look at a doppler radar loop of the system. It's really quite amazing.
That’s a remarkable system! Amazing – it even seemed to retain the eye structure too!

When rotating tropical systems like hurricanes move out of the tropics and get caught in the zonal flow of the mid-latitudes, they often retain some rotation, and can get captured by mid-latitude systems that also have some rotation.

There is also the phenomenon in dynamic meteorology called ‘conservation of potential vorticity’, whereby rotating air squeezes flat as it passes over high terrain (like the Southwestern Plateaus and the Rocky Mountains), thus losing rotation, then gains the rotation back again once the air passes over lower terrain. Thus, storm systems lose punch over high terrain (like the desert plateaus of the American Southwest) but then gain strength in the lee of the high terrain. Certain places are renowned for this phenomenon: the Atlantic coast of the Carolinas (lee of the Appalachians); central China (lee of Tibet); off the eastern coast of Victoria, Australia (lee of the Snowy Mountains); but the granddaddy of all the strengthening places on the Earth is the Great Plains of the U.S. and Canada, where Oklahoma sits, and where the differences in temperature, humidity, and elevation (compared to the Rockies) are often stark.

Looking at some of the forecast loops for the last several days, it looks like this indeed happened. The center of Erin passed into west Texas near the NM border, drifted north and then got caught by a rapidly-strengthening, rapidly-moving short-wavelength trough passing eastwards over Rockies. Instead of winding down from the loss of tropical moisture, the system wound up again. Amazing!

Meteorologists sometimes see weird interactions between the mid-latitudes and the tropics. In September, 1996, a strong low pressure system moved from the Canadian Plains over the Great Lakes, just when water temperatures in the Great Lakes were reaching their annual maximum. The rotating low pressure system promptly set up a double eye wall and looked, for all the world to see, like a hurricane. The freak system, dubbed “Hurricane Huron,” (check their photo!) dumbfounded meteorologists. Such a hybrid weather system had never even entered the realm of anyone’s imagination.

Nature loves playing tricks!

Sunday, August 19, 2007

RIP, Cloudy The Bunny



E. just called: apparently Cloudy flipped on her back when no one was around, and perished from the stress of the extended inverted position.

These sorts of things often happen to feeble animals: down in Tucson, Dr. Tom's pigeon died the same way, and it is similar to what happened to Sylvie The Cat, who tried to leap onto a chair when no one was at home, but managed only to snag one claw onto the seat, and died from the stress of dangling for hours.

Poor, sweet rabbit. At least her suffering is now over. I will miss Cloudy very much.....
Queensland Gets Some Wetness

Not as much rain as it had first promised, but still, not bad. Mt. Glorious was lucky and saw 67 mm just in one 24-hour period (ending at 9 a.m. Aug. 20), among the highest rainfalls of the storm!

The map on the left shows some of the erratic rainfalls in Queensland so far this month, from the swampy north to the desolate south. All arid areas tend to have erratic rainfall patterns - Queensland is no exception! It sure makes it hard to do stuff like agriculture, however....

The local press reports:
THE forecast was for rain and the wet stuff finally arrived yesterday and continued last night and into this morning, dropping up to 45mm into dam catchments.

For a change the western suburbs did the best out of the event, which eased as it moved eastwards after dumping up to 50 mm on places like Ipswich and Amberley.

The Gold Coast also fared well, scoring the highest rainfall in the state with 72 mm at Carrara, and 55 at Coolangatta.

Wivenhoe Dam did not miss out either, with 34 mm measured at its recording station and falls of up to 45 mm in other parts of the catchment.

Since nine o'clock yesterday, 24 mm has dampened dusty roads and gardens in Brisbane - the biggest single downpour since June 6, when a heavenly 52 mls fell.

Senior weather forecaster Brett Harrison said it is good rain for August - typically the driest month of the year in Queensland.

``Many of the falls are well above average for the month, and that's not bad - a month's worth in one day,'' he said.

Although this rain would clear this morning, Mr Harrison said further rain was expected to develop late tomorrow.

``That should continue Thursday and Friday, and into the weekend as well,'' he said.
Leos Party Hearty

Left: Ben, Noel & Noah Bruening contemplate cake.


Happy Birthday Steve Isaacson & Ben Bruening!

Steve was feted Saturday evening, following the YPT's performance of 'Beauty and the Beast'. Ben was toasted Sunday evening.

After 'Steel Magnolias' Saturday night, Lauren, MikeMac, and Mary Young drove from Folsom to Davis to participate in the festivities. Lauren was her usual funny self, but the many, detailed notes I took of what she said have been mysteriously soaked in caffeine-free creme soda, and thus rendered useless.
Ignoring Warnings

Jamaicans apparently distrust authority, even when authority is indubitably correct:
Urgent calls started coming in to the mainland from a small group of men and women marooned on the Pedro Cays, more than 50 miles to the South, and facing the brunt of the assault from the category four hurricane.

Opposition Leader Bruce Golding, who received one of the calls for help, told The Gleaner that he subsequently contacted the Jamaica Defence Force (JDF) and was told to convey to the group the army’s permission to break into its Coast Guard building on Middle Cay (one of three that make up the Pedro Cays chain) and take shelter there.

Sean Taylor, vice-chairman of the Jamaica Fishermen’s Cooperative, said that calls started coming in from as early as nine o’clock in the morning from the marooned group.

“They started calling relatives and friends saying things were getting more difficult than they expected” he said.

An obviously upset Taylor said that this need not have happened because all persons on the cays were put on notice by the JDF a week ago to leave the cays ahead of the onset of the hurricane.

“We are always adamant that whenever the warning is posted by the officials you must heed it and make the necessary preparations. The Coast Guard commander should forcefully remove them. They should see to it that they leave” he said.

Ironically, Mr. Taylor said, some of those who remained on the cays for this hurricane also ignored similar warning to leave during the passage of Hurricane Ivan in 2004 and narrowly escaped death on that occasion.

...The same challenges were being encountered in several of the most vulnerable communities along the south coast, he said, with residents refusing to leave their homes and go to designated shelters.

Responding to the self-inflicted plight of the Pedro Cays group, Mr. Peart said “This is a regular thing. Who is going to send a helicopter at this time to take them home? When you see a category five hurricane approaching you must move! They are blasted mad!” the minister said, with characteristic frankness.
Matrimonified

A technical glitch in Arkansas:
A law passed this year allows Arkansans of any age -- even infants -- to marry if their parents agree, and the governor may have to call a special session to fix the mistake, lawmakers said Friday.

The legislation was intended to establish 18 as the minimum age to marry but also allow pregnant teenagers to marry with parental consent, bill sponsor Rep. Will Bond said.

An extraneous "not" in the bill, however, allows anyone who is not pregnant to marry at any age if the parents allow it. "It's clearly not the intent to allow 10-year-olds or 11-year-olds to get married," Bond said. "The legislation was screwed up."

The bill reads: "In order for a person who is younger than eighteen (18) years of age and who is not pregnant to obtain a marriage license, the person must provide the county clerk with evidence of parental consent to the marriage."
Focus On Jamaica And The Hurricane

Left: List of top news stories of the day, from Lucianne.com, for Saturday, August 18, 2007.


For all their faults, the mainstream media (MSM) tend to cover stories with spectacular visuals reasonably well. Major disasters, like hurricanes, fall among these stories. But the disasters aren't staged for the benefit of the MSM. They really are disasters.

At this instant, Jamaica is being shredded by Hurricane Dean, particularly the southern shore, which is embedded in the eyewall, which is where you never, ever want to get stuck.

Nevertheless, yesterday, Lucianne.com, the Goldberg's conservative news site, seemed to think of Hurricane Dean as just being some elaborate stage prop, like a giant Macy's balloon, to distract from other, presumably more important news. "This will give the MSM something to do for the rest of the weekend," they sniffed.

I think it's all a bit insensitive. Advocates engaged in politics, liberal or conservative, sometimes get tunnel vision and lose all sense of perspective. Would they be quite so sanguine if, instead of Jamaica, it was Miami getting shredded? Hurricanes are a deadly serious business!

Yes, at this moment, Jamaica is suffering, and it is not just some Hollywood gimmick.

Friday, August 17, 2007

The 2004 Socorro Hailstorm

Reviewed on the "My Strange New Mexico" web site.
Two young boys got the brilliant idea to go outside and have a “hail-ball fight”...and were badly injured. People outside ran for cover, covering their heads with their fingers, and many of their fingers were broken. Three people were knocked unconscious. The golf ball-sized hail became baseball-sized and even grapefruit-sized. All 113 skylights of Socorro’s new Wal-Mart imploded, as did almost every skylight and window and windshield in town.
She Really, Really Doesn't Want To Go To Rehab

Amy Winehouse, bless her.

Women In Film

Via http://www.evilbeetgossip.com

Mary Pickford, Lillian Gish, Gloria Swanson, Marlene Dietrich, Norma Shearer, Ruth Chatterton, Jean Harlow, Katharine Hepburn, Carole Lombard, Bette Davis, Greta Garbo, Barbara Stanwyck, Vivien Leigh, Greer Garson, Hedy Lamarr, Rita Hayworth, Gene Tierney, Olivia de Havilland, Ingrid Bergman, Joan Crawford, Ginger Rogers, Loretta Young, Deborah Kerr, Judy Garland, Anne Baxter, Lauren Bacall, Susan Hayward, Ava Gardner, Marilyn Monroe, Grace Kelly, Lana Turner, Elizabeth Taylor, Kim Novak, Audrey Hepburn, Dorothy Dandridge, Shirley MacLaine, Natalie Wood, Rita Moreno, Janet Leigh, Brigitte Bardot, Sophia Loren, Ann Margret, Julie Andrews, Raquel Welch, Tuesday Weld, Jane Fonda, Julie Christie, Faye Dunaway, Catherine Deneuve, Jacqueline Bisset, Candice Bergen, Isabella Rossellini, Diane Keaton, Goldie Hawn, Meryl Streep, Susan Sarandon, Jessica Lange, Michelle Pfeiffer, Sigourney Weaver, Kathleen Turner, Holly Hunter, Jodie Foster, Angela Bassett, Demi Moore, Sharon Stone, Meg Ryan, Julia Roberts, Salma Hayek, Sandra Bullock, Julianne Moore, Diane Lane, Nicole Kidman, Catherine Zeta-Jones, Angelina Jolie, Charlize Theron, Reese Witherspoon and Halle Berry.

The College Roundtable Discusses Media Bias

Or how W. comes to grips with the left-blogger viewpoint regarding the media, and suggests that too much hyperbole is pushing left bloggers towards extremism.

(Edited Discussion)

W.: Hey Marc: I read your dialog with J. about Sicko. In it you make an interesting point, seeming to say that CNN is right-wing. I have not heard that opinion before. Since I watch CNN only very rarely (less than an hour per year), I can't evaluate your statement based on personal knowledge. Could you elaborate? Do other people you know agree with you? Also -- I'd be interested in hearing your opinion on the political leanings (if any) of ABC, CBS, NBC, and NPR.
M.: Since I stopped watching all Cable TV in disgust two years ago, I can’t easily illustrate the media’s right-wing tendencies with contemporary examples. All major media, virtually without exception, are right-wing. It may be that right-wing is not the best term to use – corporatist may be more descriptive. Preserving Beltway Groupthink is a major objective, as is kowtowing to business priorities. Debate is discouraged, in favor of juvenile hazing of liberals. There are a few bright lights – Jon Stewart’s Daily Show works as well as it does because what they satirize most – the corruption of TV journalism – is so omnipresent.

I think all liberals feel that we now live in a strange fascist state, where the media offerings are designed as much to confuse as to enlighten – hence stories about John Edwards’ hair, and missing young white women in Aruba, and no genuine opportunities for changing policy in Iraq. Orwell foresaw some of this weirdness, but the Bush Administration has proven exceptionally innovative. The decline actually started in the nineties, and was foreseen in Paddy Chayevsky’s 1977 movie ‘Network’: first with the 1987 removal of the ‘Fairness Doctrine’ and any restrictions on corporate monopolization of media markets, then the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994, with the absurd restrictions on US military power in the Balkans that accompanied it, and then with the media going farther and farther right, with the Clinton impeachment, the Wen Ho Lee debacle, then running right off the rails with the stolen election of 2000, 9/11, and the invasion of Iraq. The return to reality has been very slow and halting – Hurricane Katrina, the absence of any ‘progress’ in Iraq, the efforts to shift blame to the victims - mostly liberals – and can reverse at any time.

Some of the liberal blogs such as Media Matters and Daily Kos carefully follow the statements of the major media, as if they were Pravda and this was the USSR – because they may as well be Pravda and this may as well be the USSR. I follow most closely Digby’s Hullaballoo.

W.: OK. … I've heard that a lot about Fox, but you are only the 1st or 2nd person I've ever known who has claimed that ALL major media are right wing. Do you include NPR, NY Times & Washington Post? Has the major media always been right-wing, or has it become so recently? Are Rather, Brokaw, and Jennings right wing? Is your assessment common among your peers? I'm not criticizing your point of view, but I'm trying to get a more accurate fix on where you are.
M.: The decline of major media started in the 80’s, began accelerating in the 90’s, and since 2000 has hit bottom, hard. The rapid expansion of cable TV created vast swaths of time that needed to be filled with content. The simultaneous concentration of ownership made coordinated media movement more practicable. The new horde of reporters and journalists (stenographers, actually) created by Cable TV were easy marks for officials wanting to purvey access for slanted coverage. Later, the growth of the Internet and political blogs made superfluous much of what journalists and pundits were producing. Pundits used to be prized for their detailed knowledge of government’s workings, and their access, but there were too many of them now, too many of them poorly-trained, and everyone eager for access of some sort.

My assessment is common in the left blogosphere, but is not particularly common among other peers.

Certain events stand out as hallmarks:

  • A garden variety of non-scandals scandals quickly enveloped the new Clinton Administration: Travelgate, Whitewater, Gennifer Flowers, etc., were promoted by the mass media as part of coordinated campaigns with small groups and individuals with ideological goals.
  • The Clinton Impeachment brought into prominence people like David Brooks at the NY Times, who were good at character assassination, but had little real expertise otherwise.
  • The Wen Ho Lee case, promoted by Notra Trulock at the FBI through his favorite media channel, the NY Times, showed increasing boldness by the media in manufacturing false scandals, this time in coordination with government agencies.
  • The contested 2000 election vote showed yet more coordinated campaigning. Indeed, reporters like WSJ’s Paul Gigot were participants in the Palm Beach “riot” against removing vote-counting from public view.
  • Judith Miller at the NY Times was instrumental in taking all manner of inflammatory (and false) information regarding WMD from the Iraqi National Congress and placing it on the front page of that paper. She was also part of the outing of Valerie Plame.
  • The media was deeply involved at every level in the Plame scandal. Classified information was shopped to Bob Woodward at the Washington Post, and many, many more journalists, as part of the campaign to discredit former Acting Ambassador to Iraq, Joseph Wilson.
  • The embedding of journalists in the Iraqi War created another cadre of co-opted stenographers.
The counter-reaction to all this journalistic corruption has been slow to form. Frank Rich at the NY Times turned his entertainment column into a de facto political opinion column. Paul Krugman, also at the NY Times, rebelled against the perversions of economics he was witnessing. The McClatchy news organization resisted being co-opted. And the left blogosphere, of course, filled the vacuum created by the disappearance of expertise and objectivity. Still, the whole enterprise is pretty shot, even now.

NPR and PBS have partially-resisted the decline of journalism, mostly because they are partially publicly-supported.

All the major networks are corrupted. ABC News, right now, is promoting unexamined and probably exaggerated reports regarding Iranian nuclear capabilities, in order to start a war with Iran.

You mention Rather, Brokaw, Jennings. Rather is gone, of course (not reliable enough for corporate interests). Isn’t Jennings dead? In any event, all anchors partake of the corruption.

The NY Times is still in a schizophrenic state: some right (Adam Nagourney); more and more left these days.

The Washington Post remains Neocon right. Let’s look at the columnists:
    • Anne Applebaum: moderate left
    • Peter Beinart: used to be neocon right – now, just confused
    • David Broder: Most widely-hated columnist in the left blogosphere – right
    • Richard Cohen: Moderate right
    • Jackson Diehl: Moderate left
    • EJ Dionne Jr.: Left
    • Ellen Goodman: Left
    • Fred Hiatt: Right Jim Hoagland: Moderate
    • Richard Holbrooke: Bloody-minded left
    • David Ignatius: Left
    • Robert Kagan: Right
    • Colbert King: Left
    • Michael Kinsley: Moderate left
    • Charles Krauthammer: Genghis Khan right
    • Sebastian Mallaby: Moderate
    • Ruth Marcus: Left
    • Harold Meyerson: Left
    • Eugene Robinson: Left
    • Robert Samuelson: Moderate
    • George Will: Famously right
    • Fareed Zakaria: Neocon right
Hmmm…..More on the left than I expected, but many of these left columnists do not write about foreign affairs. The columnists who do write on foreign affairs are mostly on the right. Plus Bob Woodward, of course, who once was the lion of the left, but now has seen his career badly-damaged by the Plame scandal.

W.: Hey Marc, you kind of got lost on your reply to my question. You were speaking about a purported decline in media quality, but I was asking about political bias. You did seem to say that the Washington Post is right wing, and that the NY Times is moving leftward (from what point?), but I didn't catch any clear opinions about the other outlets. I am still interested in your opinions on the political orientation, if any, of the major news organizations and personalities (in terms of left-wing, moderate, right-wing: ABC, CBS, CNN, FOX, NBC, NPR, PBS) plus Brokaw, Jennings, Rather.

Yes, I do know that Rather is gone and that Jennings is dead, but these guys did represent TV News for a quarter century, and so your opinion on the political bias, if any, of these three men would be very relevant to the basic question.
M.: With the caveat that I actually watch precious little from any of these media outlets anymore, let’s see…..

    • ABC - right
    • CBS - right
    • CNN - right
    • FOX – far right
    • NBC - right
    • NPR – moderate left
    • PBS – moderate left
    • Brokaw - moderate
    • Jennings – moderate (for some reason, neocon Martin Peretz always hated Jennings, and accused him of anti-Semitism)
    • Rather – left
The New York Times, once having experimented right in the 1990’s, is heading left, but is still in a bit of a schizophrenic state, since they haven’t had a full staff turnover.

W.: OK. I see that you think all TV news organizations are right wing, and that the NY Times is partially right wing. I'll respond in two ways. First; what does this say about your own political orientation? Second, are your assessments correct?

Your political orientation. As I said before, you are only the 2nd person I've ever met who thinks that ABC, CBS, and NBC are right-wing, and I believe that perhaps the 1st person was not being serious. You confirmed that when you said that your observation, although common in the left blogosphere, was not particularly common among peers (i.e. people you actually meet in California). Most liberals feel that the mainstream media is moderate, or slightly left. Since organizations which are approved by most of the left appear to be right-wing to you, then you would seem to be to the left of most of the left, or "far left". Fair enough? My guess is that your point of view is held by 2% or less of the general population. I'm not criticizing your views, I'm just trying to place you on the political spectrum. Of course, having an unpopular viewpoint is not by itself evidence of wrong thinking -- history has many examples of an extremist viewpoint later developing into a majority position.

Is your assessment correct? I agree with you that FOX is right-wing, and that NPR and PBS are left-wing. I'm not sure about CNN - I think they may be the closest thing to an objective news source in our society today, but I don't watch them, so I'm not really sure. However, your opinion about ABC, CBS, and NBC must surely be wrong. It is actually quite easily testable. If ABC, CBS, and NBC were right wing, then right-wingers would approve of them. Correct? However, I've never met a conservative who likes them. Have you?
M.: Regarding my political orientation, I see it as moderate liberal, fairly milquetoast, and certainly not left, or extreme left, or even progressive (although it is getting leftier all the time).

The left blogosphere has succeeded in crystallizing a critique of the mass media as largely conservative, and often reactionary. I wholly endorse this critique. Indeed, the modern liberal is apt to endorse portions of, or the entirety of, the critique as well. You are unlikely to enjoy watching “The Daily Show”, for instance, without accepting portions of the critique. Thus, when you state:
Most liberals feel that the mainstream media is moderate, or slightly left.
That is simply not how liberals see things. Just ask any liberal. Indeed, it’s a litmus test. Whether someone answers the statement ‘true’ or ‘false’ will distinguish liberals from conservatives. The sentence describes how liberals may have felt, say, in the 70’s. Not any more, and not for a long, long time.

It’s hard to characterize by percentages how much of the population may feel as I do. I’d say 30 to 40% myself, but that ropes in lots of people who pay almost no attention to politics at all.

These days, my peers tend to be a lot of people who judge the media based on show biz values. I have one friend, a confirmed liberal, who nevertheless likes to watch Chris Matthews, because of his manner of grilling guests. She feels Matthews is neutral. She might pay less attention to the political subtext of the show, like why he is interviewing this guest delivering a conservative message, rather than some other guest with a more liberal message. My friends are very good at spotting product placement in movies, but may be less successful at spotting idea placement on news shows. Or perhaps the presence of conservatives on these shows sparks less concern, because it is expected, since the administration is conservative.

Right-wingers may not approve of ABC, CBS, and NBC, but it isn’t for lack of media effort. The media today constantly, relentlessly cater to conservative views. In the 60’s, liberals didn’t approve of ABC, CBS, and NBC either, even though the media of the day were certainly trying to cater to liberal views. If conservatives don’t like the media today, they really won’t like it if the media pendulum swings the other way.

W.: Well, I have to say that I am astonished at the assertion that ABC, CBS, and NBC news are right-wing. I presume that means they support Republican candidates, ending affirmative action, pro-life, lower taxes, etc. I'm still wondering, how long have they been right-wing? Did they support Reagan in the 80's? How does one reconcile left-wing Dan Rather being the voice of right-wing CBS for 25 years?

Digby's posts for this week (July 18-24) had only one complaint about media bias (not counting the one on People magazine, which I disregard because I don't reckon People to be a newsmagazine). The post concerned a supposedly unfair AP article about Obama. Although Digby did not, in my mind, conclusively demonstrate that AP treated Obama unfairly, even if the accusation is accepted, it still does not demonstrate right-wing bias. Digby is a left-wing blog, and presumably would not call attention to unfair treatment of a Republican by AP. So if AP unfairly targeted 5 Republicans in one week, and only 1 Democrat, I bet Digby would describe the 1 Democrat, and not mention the 5 Republicans, and give the impression that AP is right-wing when it really would be left-wing. It could be an example of what geochemists call "biased sampling" (for real). Or am I being unfair to Digby myself? If there were examples of left-wing AP bias, would Digby report them?

I would like to invite you to persuade me that ABC, CBS, and NBC are right-wing. I might learn something. You might learn something. We could both shoot each other memories like "I remember when so-and-so said XYZ, which proves his bias", the one saying it not remembering the facts or context exactly right, and the one reading it having not even seen the broadcast in question. In that case neither of us would learn much. But I did think of an interesting idea, which I hope you will like. Why don't you choose one of the networks, and we'll agree on 3 to 5 specific evenings during which both of us will tape & watch that network's nightly news. Then we'll compare notes. Neither one of us will be able to bullshit the other. And if the network really is biased during those 3 to 5 shows, we'll know. It won't be as easy as pontificating by email, but it will be more informative for us both. What do you say?
M.: I like the idea of actually comparing these things for ourselves, rather than relying on what other bloggers might think. After all, like you say, Digby and other bloggers on the left will be much more sensitive to anti-left sentiment than anti-right sentiment. And vice-versa, of course.

I watched the 7/23 CBS newcast, just to make sure it was feasible. That particular evening seemed more liberal than conservative, suggesting that I’ve been out to lunch for a long time, but I also thought the choice of stories was rather eccentric: there must have been many more urgent stories that should have been covered instead of what they chose.

Let’s watch the 7/24 broadcast … and compare notes.

...(next night)...

I watched both programs and took sketchy notes. … I got the impression of a liberal bias – different from what I expected - but it was hardly consistent. In general, what struck me was the odd editorial judgment of what constituted a story, and what did not.

In the sixties, on NBC, Chet Huntley reported from New York, and David Brinkley reported from Washington, D.C. What you got was a narrow digest of business and political news. They did not presume to offer advice in your daily life. They did not try to tell every newsworthy story in the world, or even the country.

On these two shows, there was a different emphasis. On 7/25, shortly after discussing the housing prices slump and the recent comments by the CEO of Countrywide Loans that triggered the 200 point decline of the DJI on 7/24 (interrupted by the spectacular pictures of the Dallas gas explosions), CBS offered a primer on how people can avoid affordability traps in getting mortgages. To me, this was largely-wasted time. The information might be useful to mortgage neophytes, but everyone else would gloss over it. And I think it’s patronizing. Perhaps CBS is trying to be useful, by being informative, but if other stories aren’t covered in full detail, or aren’t covered at all, then the public is badly-served. I suspect this scattershot editing is not a new weakness either.

An important example is the current testimony by Attorney General Alberto Gonzales on Capitol Hill. The liberal blogs are all atwitter about Gonzales’ attitude. Having deflected previous efforts to force his resignation, Gonzales is now bordering on open contempt for his questioners, by openly ignoring their questions. This is unprecedented in a Cabinet official. Yet, that information did not make it into the 7/24 broadcast, the only one of the two that mentioned the testimony at all. The 7/24 report was too brief to allow viewers to come to any real conclusion about what the Capitol Hill testimony might be all about, or if there was anything unusual about it.

J. made a similar point in an E-Mail message he sent yesterday, which I enclose below, in full:

J: OK, here's an example from NBC news this morning of, at the very least, indifferent journalism which works very strongly to the benefit of the Bush administration.

The lead story on local news last night and again this morning on national news was that terrorists are trying to test airport security by carrying things "that look like bombs or bomb components" aboard commercial flights. Because of this TSA officials issued one of their breathless pronouncements that the nation is in imminent danger of attack.

Now, let's look at the facts. The "incidents" to which they refer are four cases dating back to last September. Supposedly there were blocks of cheese with wires attached which were found in suitcases. There seems to be a big mystery as to who did this and why. Suspicious? Maybe. Pointless or easily explained? More likely. A TSA official was interviewed but the questioning was about what I would have expected from a high school newspaper reporter. The OBVIOUS question to ask was: What explanations did the people who put these mysterious things in their bags give? Look, there is no way a bag can anonymously be loaded onto a commercial plane. The person who owned the bag should have been--and almost certainly was--questioned. Was it a goofy high school kid? Was it a little old lady who heard somewhere that putting wires into the cheese she bought at that little store by the sea will help it keep better? More than likely there is a totally innocuous explanation for these "bomb-like components" but THE INTERVIEWER DIDN'T BOTHER TO ASK! As a result, viewers are left with the impression that there is some credibility to the endless panicked announcements of grave danger. And they give the Bush administration the benefit of the doubt.

And, by an interesting coincidence, this story took up so much time that NBC didn't get around to covering Alberto Gonzales' Senate testimony which was at the least extremely evasive and quite possibly blatant perjury.

Liberal bias? Not a chance! Conservative bias? Maybe--maybe not. BUT the sloppy journalism and reluctance to ask pertinent questions CLEARLY benefits the Bush administration. That's not really conservative bias because the Bush administration is not conservative--it is radical and clearly opposed to the basic principles of democracy. What's the word for that? Criminal? Monarchical? Nihilistic? Whatever it is it is not conservative.

Sorry for the typos in my last post. This is a topic that really makes my blood pressure rise and my thoughts tend to get ahead of my typing...

M.: Now, regarding liberal/conservative bias, at the current time, with a conservative administration in power, I would presumptively associate news stories about security issues as inherently conservative, and news stories about scandals as inherently liberal, unless there were other factors that might mitigate the classification. So, going through the stories in a sketchy way:

7/24 Broadcast

  • Dow Plunge of 200 points – Just now (morning of 7/26), Rush Limbaugh warned his listeners that the ‘drive-by media’ – presumably liberals – are trying to scare people away from the markets by hyping the decline. I might agree, except that all markets near all-time maxima are always prone to sudden reverses. So, maybe slight liberal bias, but it’s probably a passing phenomenon of little note either way.
  • Myspace sex offenders number 29,000 rather than 7,000. Sounds like a conservative bias here. Eerie footage of the very strange North Carolina Attorney General.
  • Attorney General’s testimony – liberal bias, but briefness of report blunts message.
  • Clinton/Obama dustup – Emphasis of report is on what Clinton refers to as Obama’s naivete. Struck me as a conservative bias, since the subject was foreign policy. Two days ago, I also watched the 7/23 broadcast, when the emphasis was women’s support for Clinton, with the exception of trust during a foreign crisis, where women feel ill at ease with Clinton. Sounds like CBS is adopting a ‘pox on all houses’ mentality when it comes to the Democrats. Conservative bias is probably most-evident with coverage of Democratic Presidential contenders.
  • Federal minimum wage – (took no notes here)
  • Philadelphia murder rates up – Definite liberal bias here, since the emphasis was on gun control.
  • Bush’s shifting rationale for involvement in Iraq – Liberal bias here, but not terribly timely: maybe 6 months late.
  • Iran/US talks – Report not specific enough. Probably a conservative bias, since emphasis was on US agitation.
  • Silly stories: Collapse of a building in Portugal, a machine that hands out compliments, Spiderman stamps. Filler has a slight conservative bias, in my opinion, because it keeps people uninformed about more-important stuff.
  • A story about the rebound of American Crocodiles at a nuclear plant in Florida – probably a conservative bias, showing how industry and wildlife can live together in harmony, despite numerous counter-examples elsewhere.


    7/25 Broadcast

  • Walter Reed Hospital scandal and continuing efforts to get health care to vets – Liberal bias, since the focus is on administration weaknesses.
  • Heightened security efforts by the TSA – conservative bias.
  • Soccer team celebrations ruined in Iraq – Liberal bias, since it makes the current US efforts in Iraq look ineffective.
  • National housing prices slump – Weakening economy makes people question leadership, therefore presumptively liberal bias.
  • Dallas gas explosions – presumptively conservative, because of security fears, but since it was an accident, likely included just for the spectacular camera shots.
  • Primer on mortgages and housing – Patronizing filler.
  • Contempt of Congress citations – all-too-brief report has a liberal bias.
  • Women fighting the VA – Tie-in to previous report regarding vet health care. Has a liberal bias.
  • Friends and fat – More filler of dubious distinction. Slight conservative bias.


W.: If one were compelled to assign a bias to every story, I would make pretty much the same calls you did. However, I think it is possible to look too closely for bias. Most stories in the first half of the broadcast are real news stories, carried by every news organization. It's not bias, it's what happened today. Furthermore, I will have to disagree that "filler counts as conservative because it keeps people uninformed about more important stuff". As a conservative, I could turn it around, and with just as much reason, say that filler is liberal, because it keeps people uninformed about more important stuff. You see, I think that conservative issues are important stuff.

In your tally, I count Liberal Bias 9, Conservative Bias 8. I might have done the count a little differently, but not very much so. This means that either CBS is nearly objective (rather than right-wing, which is your position), or that classifying every story is not the best way of assessing media bias.

Back in the 80's, when there was no other choice, I got my news from the three networks, and it was clear that they were liberal. For example, during the 1982-83 recession, they used the word "Reaganomics" in every story about layoffs, unemployment, etc. But when the economy turned around in late 1983, suddenly "Reaganomics" disappeared forever from their vocabulary. It was bias of the worst kind -- I would like to say that that sort of behavior was beneath Rather and Brokaw, except that obviously it wasn't. However, one would not have been able to recognize that bias by looking at one broadcast - or even one hundred broadcasts. It would take more than a year of watching the news, and thinking about what they said, to see it.

A good time to look for network bias is when there is an important question before the American people. If the networks ever decide to misuse their position, it would be then. We should have done this two months ago, when the amnesty bill was an open question. However, this month is a slow month for news. Let's re-open the issue the next time there is a litmus-test question before the people -- during the '08 election, if not earlier.

"the Bush administration is radical and clearly opposed to the basic principles of democracy". Really!
M.: As I was compiling the CBS News 7/24 & 7/25 lists, and also assigning the Washington Post columnists to appropriate niches, I became aware of a definite pattern. One might even call it a rule: *Marc’s Media Rule*:

With few exceptions:

All domestic stories (or columnists who write about domestic stories) are biased liberal; all international stories (or columnists who write about international stories) are biased conservative.
Thus liberals and conservatives will never be happy, because they will always see a bias, no matter what. And they are right to see it so – it’s the result of definite, conscious decisions by the media companies. Some people might call this “balance.” I’m thinking the reason for this state of affairs is because that’s where the money is. A non-intrusive domestic policy would mean less domestic spending, which would mean less money flow to support the media. The same would be true in the international arena.

Think how odd it would be if the U.S. pursued an isolationist or pacifist foreign policy, and a libertarian or non-interventionist domestic policy. No fun for the media in that kind of environment. Changing the paradigm is quite difficult, but it sometimes happens, like later during the Vietnam War, or today, for examples. A lot of sturm und drang accompanies the process, however, because it goes against the media interest.

Regarding choice in media, there still isn’t much choice, despite the supposed proliferation of outlets over the last three decades. There are just as few companies doling the stuff out as ever. People often complain “100 cable channels, and yet there is nothing on the tube.” This complaint strikes me as valid.

Regarding filler material, because it deflects attention, it works to support whoever is in charge. As a rule, these days it works to support conservatives, but in the 90’s, moderate Democrats were the beneficiaries. It just depends who is in charge.

We don’t need to look for a major issue to see the networks abusing their power. They do so with every single issue, without exception. But it may be more evident when a Big Issue is under debate…..

Regarding J’s statement:
"the Bush administration is radical and clearly opposed to the basic principles of democracy"
I think that is clearly true. The Bush Administration has been following a fascistic or Leninist template ever since it was installed into power. It’s an odd, ad hoc, fairly-soft tyranny, but tyranny nonetheless. We have had several incidents already where people’s devotion to the Republican Party overwhelmed their allegiance to the United States: the Plame matter was the most spectacular, where a U.S. agent was outed as a punishment for working against the Republican message. That used to be called Treason, but it’s commonplace in today’s Washington.

Bush’s America is George Orwell’s “1984” come to life. People remember “1984” for the total surveillance, but that was actually not its most salient feature, but rather how everything worked together – the media particularly – to keep the crowds under control and the ruling party in power. Orwell developed “1984” after seeing how his faction in the Spanish Civil War, the “POUM”, suddenly got branded an “Enemy of the People” when its politics became inconvenient to the USSR, nearly costing his life, and forcing him to return to England as a fugitive. The threat of Al Qaeda works even better than the three-power-bloc balancing act that Orwell foresaw in “1984” in keeping the masses cowed, because its acts are quite spectacular in the media, yet its small size makes it more benign, because it poses less of an actual threat. Thus, Bush’s America is more efficient and better organized than Orwell’s Oceania, a testament to the skill of the Republican Party.

What limits the Bush Administration’s depredations is its ignorance. Examples: somehow not realizing that removal of Saddam would inevitably lead to Iranian domination of the region – it’s right next door, after all - or that Sunni/Shia divisions, unpoliced by a powerful hand, would erupt into a civil war. But then, all fascistic regimes founder on such ignorance, in the end: Hitler’s decision to invade the USSR was the most spectacular example of ignorance ever, but there are many such examples. With Bush, I don’t know if we are heading towards a “Mussolini Moment”, where a lynch mob settles things, or not, but it wouldn’t be that surprising of a finish. Or maybe the clock will just run out, and they’ll leave the damage control to Hillary, or others, and look for better opportunities later.
W.: What is an "extremist"? One definition might be - one who uses extreme language to characterize people. Another definition: one who believes that his political opponent cannot be a reasonable man. Extremists always Demonize the Enemy. Is Bush really a fascist or Leninist? Really? Is he really opposed to the basic principles of democracy? Are we really suffering under a tyranny? Do you really think Bush is heading toward a Mussolini moment, where a lynch mob settles things? Do you really think that? How about you, J.?

Here's what I think: Anyone who is opposed to the basic principles of democracy, or who is a fascist, or a Leninist, or a tyrant, or who is ready to contemplate settling things with lynch mobs, would never be elected President. If such a person was elected, he would certainly not allow a later election to remove him from power, once he has attained it. Right? Isn't that the essence of fascism, Leninism, tyranny, and lynch mobs?

Here's what I saw: Legislative power was transferred smoothly to the Democrats after the 2006 election. Bush did not try to void the election, did not use a "terror alert" to try to delay swearing in the new Congress, did not bring trumped up charges against Democratic leaders, did not arrest any candidates, congressmen, or journalists. Martial law was not declared. There were no takeovers, riots, or fights at the Capitol building. No newspapers, radio stations, or TV stations were shut down. There were no mysterious disruptions of the internet. There were no attacks on anyone by "hooligans", no Democratic leaders disappeared or were assassinated; nor were there any last-minute scandalous revelations about Democratic candidates. No offices of Democratic leaders, journalists, or anti-war activists were vandalized or burned. Finally, nobody tried to cow the masses.

Here's what will happen in 2008: Nothing. Bush will not try to change the rules and seek a third nomination. He will pass leadership of the Republican Party to someone else. If the Democratic candidate wins the electoral vote, Bush will step down, and the Democrat will be sworn in the following January, peacefully. No lynch mobs will appear anywhere.

Bush is not opposed to the basic principles of democracy, he is not a fascist, he is not a Leninist, he is not contemplating the use of lynch mobs, and he never did. Occasional hyperbole in conversation and writing is acceptable, but if it is repeated too often, it begins to look like extremism.
M.: There are different varieties of tyrannies, and I think Bush and Co. have hit on a new form, a variety of Christian fascism that mercifully does not (yet) aspire to totalitarianism. The essence of Christianity that is retained is that the people must choose to be saved – salvation cannot be imposed. So, no dictatorship, no martial law. Nevertheless, the Administration expects deference. Dissent is not welcome.

The essence of the Bush Administration is secrecy whenever possible. Secrecy paralyzes the functions of democracy, however, which depend on the flow of information. The insistence on secrecy started early: one example was the Administration’s early consultations on energy policy. The people and companies consulted were held to be privileged, not because it really mattered (and there was ample precedent from earlier Administrations where that information was not privileged), but in order to establish the principle that no one could hold the Administration to account, except at election time: then, and only then.

When I use the term Leninist, it sounds like extreme language, but what I am trying to do is describe a disturbing phenomenon using an historical example for illustration. Unfortunately the example is extreme, but the extreme example is just a variety of the same phenomenon. The outing of Valerie Plame showed how loyalty to the Republican Party trumped loyalty to the United States. The history of the USSR is replete with examples where loyalty to the Communist Party trumped loyalty to Russia, or the USSR – Lenin pioneered that approach. To have the same phenomena beginning to appear in a democracy is highly disturbing. It suggests the democracy no longer functions well, and may be breaking down. Use of the term Leninist is not demonization of enemies, but rather a correct description of Administration actions.

Other examples abound. The US has held Jose Padilla, the so-called dirty bomber, for years on secret evidence that may be insufficient, and in fact may be largely absent. The President asserts the right to hold him purely on his authority, alone. Such a bald assertion of power has been absent from all English-speaking countries since the Magna Carta. If this example holds, it is likely that others will suffer the same fate in the future, for no valid reasons whatsoever.

When the populace lacks sufficient information, or correct information, it is relatively easy to lead through fear. Domestic opponents have trouble organizing when they do not know what has happened. Massive arrests and open crackdowns, on the other hand, invite resistance. The Bush Administration has showed repeatedly that it does not want massive resistance. It wants deference. Future administrations, however, using Bush-era precedents, might decide otherwise.

One example has been Bush’s reluctance to insert more than 140,000 combat troops into Iraq. Bush likely feels that higher numbers would lead to massive resistance he can’t overcome. He is likely right. Generals who want more troops see their careers ruined, however, so Bush gets his way. Yet experience from other wars shows that higher troop levels are necessary to curb guerilla war. So, the current troop levels are a holding action, unlikely to lead to success on anyone’s terms, except maybe the guerillas. But if that’s the price for preventing massive domestic resistance, so be it. Mercenaries like Blackwell help out, since they are off-book contractors, but they aren’t enough either.

When I mentioned lynch mobs, I didn’t imply that Bush would organize them, but rather that others might form them and use them against Bush. That was what happened in Italy, with Mussolini, as Italian troops capitulated to the Allies. Or maybe that is just a bloody example of something that might happen bloodlessly, that Republican candidates might suffer rejection in an electoral lynching.

South America actually has quite a few examples of where the US may be heading. The unsuccessful 2002 coup against Hugo Chavez in Venezuela showed how the economic elite lost power, in part because of its willingness to defy established law. Perhaps we’ll have an analogous leftist strongman emerge in the US and use Bush-era precedents against the economic elite here. Not a good thing…..

Liberal apprehension of Bush Administration actions is not irrational and is not based on extremist ideology. Indeed, conservatives have many of the same fears. It’s just that exactly these kinds of authoritarian actions have appeared repeatedly in dictatorships. We aspire to better.

------------------
Postscript: Am I an extremist? I don’t think so, but as W. notes, many of the hallmarks of standard fascistic regimes are missing, and thus calling the Administration fascistic is a form of overreach. In contrast, I tend to think that the current Administration is a new and improved form of fascistic tyranny that will be appreciated better, in retrospect….
Someone Will Get Frosted About This

Note taped to the door of a Community Center:
Anger management course is cancelled today.

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Net Cafe Refugees

Talking about lack of sleep, if I lived in Japan, I'd find this tempting:
Japan is launching its first study into so-called "Net cafe refugees," young people who live in all-night lounges and are feared to become a new class of working poor, an official said Wednesday.

Japan's omnipresent net cafes -- equipped with sofas, drinks, computers and comic books -- are designed for businessmen who want to slack off for a few hours or for commuters who missed their last trains home.

But Japan has been alarmed by growing reports of young day labourers who are staying in round-the-clock cafes rather than renting and living in apartments.

...A five-hour stay at an Internet cafe in Tokyo costs about 3,000 yen (25 dollars) with a meal served. Showers are available at 200 yen for 30 minutes and underwear is on sale.

...Sleeping in net cafes can be problematic "in terms of employment security, hygiene and development of job ability," said the labour ministry official.
Bill Richards-zzzzzzzz-on

Bill needs sleep. I sympathize: I'm running on caffeine vapors myself. But what's this about none of the candidates getting enough sleep again until the Iowa Caucuses are over? Are they nuts? And firefighters, soldiers and other emergency responders can go long periods without much sleep, but no one is asking them to argue fine points of federal budgeting while on camera.

But then, I remember, in 2005, how Dave Lack got through opening night of RSP's "Victor, Victoria" with very, very little sleep. The most impressive command of the sleep impulse I've ever seen, while simultaneously reciting mounds of lines from memory! It probably does matter that Dave is a firefighter....

Dave Lack for President!:
Richardson, tired and apparently worn down by a long stretch of campaign travel, caused a stir last week when asked during a debate whether it was a person's choice to be gay.

"Yes," Richardson said.

"No," he said the next day.

Then, when clarifying what he really meant to say, Richardson said a long flight was to blame.

Although no one is calling for Richardson to leave the Democratic presidential race after the gaffe, the moment might be an example of how the cruel pace of campaigning can catch up with the candidates, said David Redlawsk, a University of Iowa associate professor of political science.

"Already this year, we had Senator (Barack) Obama claim 10,000 people died in a Kansas tornado back in May - Obama later said he was really tired when he made that misstatement - and Richardson called being gay a choice during the Human Rights Campaign forum, apparently not quite understanding the question," he said.

...However, Richardson campaign spokesman Pahl Shipley said the governor is getting the winks he needs.

"The governor has never required much sleep," Shipley said Wednesday morning.

Shipley added that the 59-year-old Richardson thrives on being in motion.

"If he gets more than one or two days off, he gets antsy," Shipley said.

Richardson staffers have long talked about the governor's ability to catnap and wake up refreshed.

"We'd joke that you'd be talking to him and he'd nod off, and then he'd wake up in 30 or 40 minutes and complete the sentence he was talking about before," said Shipley, who worked in the Governor's Office before moving to the campaign earlier this year.

...Nonstop activity doesn't necessarily mean Richardson isn't well-rested, said Richard Seligman, the medical director of the Presbyterian Sleep Disorder Center in Albuquerque.

"Unless there is a specific point, such as he's having trouble with his memory or words, or yawning in public, unless you can identify those, I don't know that you can say he is that tired," Seligman said.

Richardson did have a memory lapse on a "Meet the Press" interview this spring when he called a New Mexico journalist - whose release from captivity in Sudan he'd helped secure - by the wrong first name.

Still, Seligman said, many people have hectic schedules but are able to perform well.

"There are many examples of people in the community that work pretty grueling schedules and function fine," he said. "There are examples of police and firemen, first responders and emergency workers who put in extensively long hours and function pretty well."

...Richardson long has said he'll outwork anyone on the campaign path.

A check of his schedule for Wednesday bore that out.

He had five events planned in four cities. Obama had three cities and two events on his calendar, while Clinton was slated to make four events in three cities.

Since he announced he's seeking the nomination, it hasn't been uncommon for Richardson's travel to include six states in a week. On one June day, Richardson was in New Hampshire for some campaigning, flew to Iowa for a dinner and then back to New Hampshire for a debate.

On the same April day this year that he returned from a six-day trip to North Korea, Richardson flew to Dallas for a fund-raiser - and then back to Santa Fe.
"Pirates of Penzance" Rehearsals Ramping Up

Image by printmeister at B3ta.


Lots of good singers in the cast! Hope I can keep up and avoid getting keelhauled....
Why Is The Stock Market So Volatile?

Well, it's like this (via Atrios):
First, you take a bunch of shaky and risky subprime mortgages and repackage them into residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS); then you repackage these RMBS in different (equity, mezzanine, senior) tranches of cash CDOs that receive a misleading investment grade rating by the credit rating agencies; then you create synthetic CDOs out of the same underlying RMBS; then you create CDOs of CDOs (or squared CDOs) out of these CDOs; and then you create CDOs of CDOs of CDOs (or cubed CDOs) out of the same murky securities; then you stuff some of these RMBS and CDO tranches into SIV (structured investment vehicles) or into ABCP (Asset Backed Commercial Paper) or into money market funds. Then no wonder that eventually people panic and run - as they did yesterday – on an apparently “safe” money market fund such as Sentinel. That “toxic waste” of unpriceable and uncertain junk and zombie corpses is now emerging in the most unlikely places in the financial markets.

Second example: today any wealthy individual can take $1 million and go to a prime broker and leverage this amount three times; then the resulting $4 million ($1 equity and $3 debt) can be invested in a fund of funds that will in turn leverage these $4 millions three or four times and invest them in a hedge fund; then the hedge fund will take these funds and leverage them three or four times and buy some very junior tranche of a CDO that is itself levered nine or ten times. At the end of this credit chain, the initial $1 million of equity becomes a $100 million investment out of which $99 million is debt (leverage) and only $1 million is equity. So we got an overall leverage ratio of 100 to 1. Then, even a small 1% fall in the price of the final investment (CDO) wipes out the initial capital and creates a chain of margin calls that unravel this debt house of cards. This unraveling of a Minskian Ponzi credit scheme is exactly what is happening right now in financial markets.
You Know Your Paraplegic Bunny Is Happy To See You Come Home....

...When she spins on the floor so fast that she flips onto her back and waves her front legs uselessly in the air, like a tossed beetle.
Dean Aiming South

With every new forecast, Hurricane Dean is looking like it will veer south. Last NOGAPS (and current NHC consensus) points it straight at Cancun. Current NOGAPS forecast points it even further south, towards Belize.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Erin is ashore in Texas.

And in Brisbane, NOGAPS is reducing its rain forecast, for some reason, while the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) is increasing its rain forecast. I think BOM is right - there's already a big fat juicy area of clouds over western and SW Queensland, and northern NSW. They'll get some useful moisture out of the storm.

[Update] It's raining in Warwick. Desperately dry Warwick!

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Expectations And Respect

I'm now getting to the age where old friends are starting to appear in official places. Here is Rich Blakeslee, who was in the office next to mine in graduate school:
Rich Blakeslee is a senior atmospheric researcher at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Ala. On behalf of the Marshall Center, Blakeslee conducts research at the National Space Science and Technology Center (NSSTC), the Huntsville-based research facility cooperatively managed by Marshall and Alabama research universities.
The write-up continues in the same deferential vein. It's funny to see Blakeslee written up in such a respectful manner. Goodness knows he was the least pretentious person I knew in graduate school.

Rich once talked about Thanksgiving dinner when he was a kid. He didn't get to sit at the big table in the dining room - that was for the adults. Instead, he sat at the fold-out card table, with the kids.

As an adult, he had trouble adjusting to people's expectations that he should eat at the big dining table. It was all wrong: his place was at the card table, with the kids.

It's hard, sometimes, meeting expectations.
Wait, You Forgot Something

Owww! :
A Japanese biker failed to notice his leg had been severed below the knee when he hit a safety barrier, and rode on for more than a mile, leaving a friend to pick up the missing limb.
Tropical Storm Erin

Wow! Presto! Already there, by the Texas coast....
Another Bowling Ball From The Tropics

NOGAPS has changed its mind again about Tropical Storm Dean (formerly Tropical Depression Four). Instead of washing out over Cuba, like the computer model thought yesterday, it’s now decided the storm is strong enough to make it all the way to the Houston, Texas area by next Thursday. It would pass through the Florida Keys Monday night/Tuesday morning. There is no indication as of now that Tampa would be affected, however.

Keep an eye on this….
Bat Boy Is The Canary In The Coal Mine

The demise of Weekly World News may signal the eventual demise of other tabloids like the National Enquirer:
The Enquirer, the archetypal supermarket tabloid, was founded in 1926 as The New York Enquirer with capital from mobster Frank Costello to list illegal lottery numbers. In the 1950s, publisher Generoso Pope Jr. built it into a newsstand hit with a formula of blood and violence, crime scene and accident pictures, and screaming headlines like “I Cut out Her Heart and Stomped on It!” But, by 1967, Pope realized the tabloid’s future lay in suburban supermarkets, so he reined in the shock and gore, replacing it with the familiar formula of celebrity gossip, the occult, and miracle diets. Pressure from competitors pushed the content toward wildly scurrilous – until a landmark 1981 lawsuit won by Carol Burnett suggested to AMI the benefits of fact-checking.

Through the ’80s and ’90s, although forced to curb their worst excesses, The Enquirer and its kin enjoyed business as usual. As the century drew to a close, though, TV shows like Entertainment Tonight and Access Hollywood, the entire E! channel, and an overall swing to a tabloid-style celeb obsession in all media from People to cable news, plus the Internet becoming a massive resource of salacious cyber-tattle, had eroded those numbers. The Enquirer enjoyed a certain renaissance with an inside track on both the O.J. Simpson trial and the Clinton-Lewinsky scandal. It also survived a post-9/11 anthrax mail attack on AMI’s Florida offices, which killed a photo editor.

Without Bill and O.J. to pull in the readers, however, circulation again began to drop, and in 2003 AMI brought in super-editor Bonnie Fuller, formerly of Glamour and Cosmopolitan and who had recently turned around the fortunes of Us Weekly. But Fuller’s formula – total concentration on celebrity and the elimination of the astrologers, flying saucers, and near-death experiences – proved little more than a short-term containment. Fuller temporarily slowed the rot, but did not reverse it. Now, as The Weekly World News goes under, AMI is reportedly close to $1 billion in debt and posted a $160 million net loss for 2006.
Quantum Indeterminacy

Image by printmeister at B3ta.


Like Schrodinger wrote:
One can even set up quite ridiculous cases. A cat is penned up in a steel chamber, along with the following device (which must be secured against direct interference by the cat): in a Geiger counter there is a tiny bit of radioactive substance, so small, that perhaps in the course of the hour one of the atoms decays, but also, with equal probability, perhaps none; if it happens, the counter tube discharges and through a relay releases a hammer which shatters a small flask of hydrocyanic acid. If one has left this entire system to itself for an hour, one would say that the cat still lives if meanwhile no atom has decayed. The psi-function of the entire system would express this by having in it the living and dead cat (pardon the expression) mixed or smeared out in equal parts.

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Crocs Miss Out

Trapped in a swamp, a man survives by keeping his cool:
CAPE York stockman David George has spent seven nights up a tree in a crocodile-infested swamp, bleeding and with little food - and lived to tell the tale.

..."Every night I was stalked by two crocs who would sit at the bottom of the tree staring up at me," Mr George recalled yesterday.

"All I could see was two sets of red eyes below me and all night I had to listen to a big bull croc bellowing a bit further out.

"I'd yell out at them, 'I'm not falling out of this tree for you bastards'."

Dazed and bleeding after a tumble from his horse earlier this month, the bushie had given the horse its head in the pre-dawn dark to get him home – only to find it had taken him more than a kilometre into the heart of a croc swamp.

"I had to get off the horse and fall on the long 8ft-high swamp grass to clear a path, when I fell straight into a crocodile nest," he said.

"That spooked me. There were some monstrous tracks and the big ones are never far from the nest.

"I couldn't go back, it was too far and too dangerous, so I headed to the nearest high ground and stayed there, hoping someone would come and find me before the crocs did."
Rebel Disko

Tonight is the inaugural of something new at the Press Club (21st and P): Rebel Disko, with DJs Danny Ramirez (Kru - Las Vegas) and Mike Mal (Razkals - Sacramento), and sponsored by Ragdoll Vintage. Every second Tuesday, they will mix Indie, Electro, Eighties House, and Italo Disco.

This is very tempting, but I'm already scheduled to rehearse with the DMTC crew tonight and learn to sing Gilbert and Sullivan's, Less-Than-Rebellious, but More-Than-Disko, "Pirates of Penzance." Maybe later, though. We need more House in Sacramento....
Why The Aliens Are Here

After explaining to me how electromagnetic forces could be harnessed to create wormholes composed of atoms made entirely from electrons, K. addressed a more-timely question: Why, exactly, are the aliens here?
They are actually people from the future, who have come back through wormholes to warn us not to become what they have become.
I was always troubled, frankly, by the big heads, spindly limbs, greenish tint, and almond eyes. Another good reason to eat your vegetables and keep your alcohol consumption under control and to teach your children your healthy ways.
NOGAPS Sayeth

Tropical Depression Four has strengthened into Tropical Storm Dean, but NOGAPS weakens it after it crosses the Antilles, and wipes it out over Cuba. Hope that is so.

A cold front should bring heavy rain to western Queensland on Friday, and some showers to the Brisbane area on the weekend. Not much rain in Brissy, but you take what you can get. Still, it makes you wonder why one can't get more rain from them, like what happens in the Northern Hemisphere.
Dallas-Area Teens Pre-Screen "High School Musical 2"

And what do they think?:
As Nicole Walker started the movie (rewinding the parts when people got too loud), the comments flew.

"Oh my gosh, look at his pants."

"Aren't her braids cool?"

"She has a weird laugh. And she laughs a lot in this movie."

"He's got the weirdest shoes."

"This is the weirdest song on earth."

"Don't make fun of him! He's listening to his heart."

"Monique's really old. She's like 27."

"He looks bad with his hair up."

"I think he looks better with his hair up."

"Aw! That was sweet!"

"They're so cute."

"They're made for each other."

Occasionally, the girls inadvertently revealed their age through their commentary. When Troy clocks in at the country club, one of the girls asked, "What's that for?" Her friend explained what a timecard was.

...As the movie reached the halfway point, the girls offered their verdict: The sequel is definitely not a dud.

"I like this one better so far," Erica said. "It has better acting and better singing and better dancing. In the first one, everything was perfect. I mean, it was really good, though!"

Her friends agreed: The extra drama helps. Most also agreed that the bigger heartthrob in the series is not Zac Efron, but curly topped Corbin Bleu. Why?

"His hair," they all said.

...After the credits rolled, the group jumped up and began shrieking about various things, as girls will do. The mission for the night was accomplished: They'd seen the movie.

"Every person in school will see it," Nicole said. "It's one of those things you have to see."

Jessica agreed: "No matter if you want to or not."
George Carlin Can't Stay Away From Vegas

Although he is no fan of the place:
"It is the most dispiriting, soul-deadening city on earth."

But despite his obvious loathing of the town, there is something about Las Vegas that keeps bringing Carlin back. Unlike most comics his age, Carlin still has work to do.

...“So, Las Vegas provides an easy place to go to where the audience keeps changing. You don't tap it out. But the price I pay for that is the audiences are not the best in Vegas. In Pittsburgh I get the hardcore fans who know what I am about. In Las Vegas often I get people who saw me on Leno or got a coupon. It doesn't work easily. Each night (in Vegas) I have to find out how they are going to be and I have to train them."