The Next Threat to Florida is Beginning to Materialize

There is brewing tropical activity at the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic right now, just west of Puerto Rico, that looks like it'll be the next big trouble. Right now it's heading north, but forecasts indicate it'll soon start breaking for the Florida coast and thrashing its way through the Bahamas. 

The NVG model suggests the storm will head towards Jacksonville, get pretty close, but then veer off instead for the North Carolina coast, making landfall there around November 12th. So, it'll be scary for the folks all along the FL-GA-SC-NC coast. 

The GFS model instead suggests the storm will veer south, smash Miami on November 10th, then cross Florida for a direct hit on Tampa, before heading to Georgia and points northeast. 

So, the devil is in the details. It'll be worrisome, no matter what happens.