Wednesday, February 19, 2003

Native-American Self-Determination & Asian-American Self-Annihilation

More regarding gambling: it's clear that Asian-Americans are the main constituency for Indian casino gambling in California. Why, I don't know - there must be historical or cultural reasons. In any event, gambling seems to occupy a more-esteemed place in Asian imaginations than it does it Western imaginations. I remember many, hazy, casino evenings, segueing imperceptibly into the morning afterwards, sitting with Thai and Filipino housewives at crowded blackjack tables (frequently they'd win), which would have been unthinkable if gambling had had a really bad reputation among them.

There may be links between gambling and suicide: Nevada, for example, has a really high suicide rate. The possible link led me to coin a harsh phrase of the whole Indian casino political scene:

Why does Native-American self-determination have to rest so squarely upon Asian-American self-annihilation?



Not quite a slogan, but getting close!

The Dangers Of Highway 16

"In sparsely populated western Yolo County, residents are fearful of accidents on an unlit two-lane road designed for rural traffic that now funnels thousands of cars into the Rumsey Tribe's casino. A Caltrans review has determined that the road has twice the number of vehicular wrecks as on similar roads in California. Additionally, the tribe has applied for a liquor license that residents believe will greatly increase highway dangers."

OK, this little bit of news from the LA Times really freaks me out. Several years ago, when I was doing lots of late-night gambling at Cache Creek, it was crystal clear to me that narrow, winding Highway 16 was a BIG hazard, and that the Rumsey Rancheria band of Wintun Indians really didn't give a shit about who was getting killed on it, as long as they got paid. NOW, it looks like they want to compound this problem with liquor. People WILL die, good people, people who would otherwise have continued to live on, as a direct result of Cache Creek getting a liquor license. EVIL!

Here is the text of a letter I sent to the Sacramento Bee on April 6, 2000 (and which was published, I believe) regarding Rumsey Rancheria head Paula Lorenzo's over-reaction to having this problem pointed out:

Regarding Paula Lorenzo's letter on April 6th casting aspersions on the Bee's motives for pointing out dangerous traffic problems on Highway 16 in Yolo County resulting in part from Cache Creek casino traffic: Hoo-wee! Methink the lady doth protest too much! Just because the Indian gaming proposition passed on March 7th doesn't mean she should return to ignoring the bodies accumulating in front yards from Woodland to Guinda. No mitigation efforts by the Rumsey tribe, CALTRANS, or Yolo County can possibly match the hazards posed by sleep-deprived thrill addicts racing around blind curves peppered with blundering animals (a big mama skunk nearly sent me into a tree up there several years ago). I'm amazed that 20 miles of a single road, Highway 16, accounted for fully 10 percent of Yolo County's accidents in 1987-1997. Yolo County has tens of thousands of miles of paved roads! First, the Rumsey tribe should close the casino from midnight to 8 a.m., and put people to bed early. Second, shoot or trap the remaining wildlife in the Capay Valley. Hard for an Indian tribe to do? Not if they're serious about mitigating hazards and keeping customers alive. Otherwise, Ms. Lorenzo should grow a thicker skin and affect deafness. The screaming has just started about this issue, and it's not just the Bee - it could well be her neighbors from some roadside ditch.

Tuesday, February 18, 2003

The Sexiest

Regarding who's the sexiest, in case there was ever any question......

Rough Left Wing?

Here is an interesting article, which suggests that roughness on the left wing might have caused Columbia's demise. Roughness is very, very important in aerodynamics, especially when a laminar-to-turbulent flow transition is involved. Even slight damage to the Shuttle's tiles or the spaces between them, not necessarily sufficient to dislodge the tiles, might have been enough to affect their roughness, and therefore radically affect the airflow around the wing.

Iraq Debate

The debate regarding Iraq continues to rage, with lots of excellent writing being done (a rant, Jacques Chirac, Molly Ivins). The debate remains crippled by the lack of reliable information (the most important question is: Does Saddam Hussein have nuclear weapons?) As a result, a premium is placed upon the judgement, discretion, and imagination of political commentators. My position? As much as I dislike George W. Bush, he is clearly in the right here. I just hope too many people don't get killed (including comfortable civilians like myself).

Good Review Of Chicago

Good review of "Chicago" and its place in American movie musicals. The movie is great! I especially like Catharine Zeta-Jones. Even the controversial decisions the director Rob Marshall made, like leaving songs like 'Class' out, were great choices, in my opinion (I don't like that song, and it slows things down - besides, it's not necessary to harp upon Roxie and Velma's hypocrisies, since they are already so evident).

What I find mystifying is seeing various reviews, and noticing how many critics seem to hold "Chicago" to a higher standard than almost any other movie out there (maybe that's the fate of all Oscar contenders). For example, one reviewer (Mark Steyn) thought the convention of slipping into reality for dialogue, and fantasy for songs, was trite. Hello! That is standard movie musical convention, and maybe it would have been interesting to invert that choice and watch the outcome, but only in the same way that it was so interesting to watch the Space Shuttle Columbia return to Earth last Feb. 1st. Then the reviewer from the Las Vegas Review-Journal thought that an even better picture could have been made with different stars, and who knows, perhaps she's right, but who might these people be? Stanley Kauffman thought Renee Zellwegger was not on top of her material, but then again, Roxie is supposed to be an apprentice murderess, after all.

My opinion? I thought Rob Marshall and company did a pretty darn good job!

Rehearsals Continue For "How To Succeed..."

Rehearsals continue at DMTC for "How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying". The musical, while charming, is pretty wordy, making it difficult for people to memorize. It's fun to watch David Holmes (J. P. Finch) employing what sure looks like a fuzzy-logic algorithm, as he beats around the dialogue trying to find the right words. I play Mr. Gatch/Mr. Ovington/Company Policeman, and I have some dialogue myself. It should be fun!

Thursday, February 13, 2003

Space Shuttle Columbia Disaster

I'm still pretty horrified by the Space Shuttle Columbia disaster. I was going to go outside at 6 a.m. and watch it fly over on its last passover, but it was foggy here in California's Central Valley on the morning of the first, and I was sleepy, and so I missed my last opportunity.

There's interesting speculation that an atmospheric electrical discharge might ultimately be to blame for the Columbia crash. Off-hand, I would think an electrical discharge would be unlikely, since the atmosphere at that elevation should be ionized already, and thus incapable of permitting much charge buildup, but perhaps there may be more to this than I realize. I've also read in the press about an Air Force picture showing damage to the left wing (from Kirtland AFB, alternatively said to be a fuzzy amateur picture, or a high-quality detailed picture), and an interesting array of microphones at Big Bend operated by SMU that captured at least ten explosions from the Shuttle as it disintegrated over Texas.

After seeing the gripping Shreveport weather radar loops on the Web from Feb. 1st, showing shuttle debris passing over eastern Texas and western Louisiana, it occurred to me that (after a suitable time lag permitting debris to fall from the upper atmosphere) weather radar might have picked up falling tiles from the Shuttle even as far west as California, providing clues so that even the casual investigator (namely, me) could go off looking for them. Alas, on the Web, National Climatic Data Center seems to provide only coarse radar loops. Also, the loops are archived monthly, and since the accident happened on the first of the month, they may not be available till March 1st. Still, it might provide an interesting diversion on weekends, looking for this stuff. Then, of course, people all over CA, AZ, and NM are now finding all sorts of weird, inexplicable stuff in their yards and driveways (e.g., investigators in Shreveport, LA found - egg yolk! - on a porch there), which would not have attracted any attention prior to this time.

Perhaps we are coming to a needed rethinking of the Shuttle program.....

In order for people to retain access to space, much cheaper and safer spacecraft need to be available (indeed, that was the inspiration for the Shuttle program to begin with). That means new up-to-date spacecraft development, preferably of smaller, people-oriented shuttles, featuring the latest advances in materials and computer sciences, with the heavy lifting done instead by ferry spacecraft, and with the science missions done with various, tailored, unmanned missions. If the budget isn't to be increased dramatically (or even if it is), that means the Shuttle program needs to be shut down, one way or another (not necessarily abruptly). Years ago, the Shuttle program cannibalized the planetary science missions, which (still) are among the few doing genuine, ground-breaking science (together with the Hubble, COBE, etc.). Now, it looks like safety concerns and budget considerations might lead the Shuttle to cannibalize itself as well.

Given its costs, space flight is heavily dependent on political sponsorship, but no President since Johnson has given a hoot about it. What we really need is someone with vision at the top, issuing directives. But G.W. Bush doesn't seem focused on the problem either, so we may have a confused era here, where chaos reigns. But in chaos lies opportunity. Appropriate goals - appropriate technology. If I were King, I'd:

1.) Develop smaller shuttles, powered by solid-fuel boosters;

2.) go for a lunar colony;

3.) begin assembling a spinning space station (similar to visionary 50's-era sci-fi models) for a journey to land on Mars and return safely;

4.) send a plethora of planetary missions out, to places like Europa; and,

5.) send more telescopes into space.

It would be very costly, but it would serve as a better inspiration than today's NASA.

Years ago, I remember reading an article (wish I knew where it was now) concerning NASA's failure to get Richard Nixon to commit to a more ambitious shuttle program in the early 70's, getting instead his commitment to the cheaper, hybrid cargo carrier-manned spaceplane vehicle we have now. NASA chose to proceed with the more disappointing combo vehicle because of their post-Apollo fear of losing all manned space efforts altogether, even though they had concerns about the vehicle's safety even then. So, NASA took a risk, perhaps an avoidable risk, so as to keep in the game. It's not just astronauts voyaging into the unknown - contractors and bureaucrats too are at risk.

Barbarian Queen

Barbarian Queen. I never realized Joe Bob Briggs did obits too.......

The Muslim World As Is

The Muslim World, As Is.

Wednesday, January 29, 2003

It's Just About Lunchtime!

It's just about lunchtime!

Scenes From DMTC's "A Chorus Line"


Opening Audition Scene - Featuring Isaac Daley (Al), Marc Valdez (Bobby), Colby Salmon (Mike), and Scott Griffith (Greg).



Montage 4 - In front, Matt Dunn (Paul); second line, Marc Valdez (Bobby) and Wendy Carey (Val); the rest, Monica Parisi (Dawn), Melody Davi (Maggie), Colby Salmon (Mike), Angela Yee (Connie), Scott Griffith (Greg), Patricia Glass (Bebe), Matt Welch (Mark), and Dena Lozano (Diane).



Montage 4 - Marcus Mitchell (Ritchie), Isaac Daley (Al), Courtney Bufkin (Kristine), Wendy Carey (Val), and Matt Welch (Mark).



Music & the Mirror - Heather Benner (Cassie).



Bows - At Head, Dian Hoel (Laurie); Second Line, Michael Miiller (Zach), Dena Lozano (Diane), Matt Welch (Mark), and Wendy Carey (Val); Third Line - Marcus Mitchell (Ritchie), Heather Benner (Cassie), Colby Salmon (Mike), Pam Lourentzos (Sheila), Marc Valdez (Bobby), and Patricia Glass (Bebe); Fourth Line - Scott Griffith (Greg), Melody Davi (Maggie), Isaac Daley (Al), Jennifer Heisleman (Judy), Matt Dunn (Paul), and Courtney Bufkin (Kristine); Fifth Line - Monica Parisi (Dawn), Savannah Scott (Cut Dancer), Camila Fabersunne (Cut Dancer), Jenny Reuter (Cut Dancer), Kelly Slachman (Cut Dancer), Wendy Wyse (Cut Dancer), and Angela Yee (Connie).

State Of The Union

My sense of the State of the Union address was that it was good on atmospherics, but weak on crucial details. TNR basically agrees.

Friday, January 24, 2003

Good Mention

Well, DMTC's production of "A Chorus Line" got a good mention by the Davis Enterprise's reviewer, Bev Sykes. Actually things seem to be going well (even though I momentarily forgot my lines as 'Bobby' twice in last Friday's performance, and suffered accordingly). When Woodland Opera House did the show in 1999 (and I was a 'Cut Dancer'), there seemed to be great class distinctions in the cast, probably because the smaller stage size prevented the participation of the Cut Dancers in the final number. This is our final weekend, and it'll be a good one...

Thursday, January 23, 2003

NSR Gotterdamerung

As an air quality modeler, I must admit to being baffled by the long-running controversy regarding the Bush Administration's efforts to reform New Source Review and allow facility upgrades and more-than-routine maintenance to older industrial sites. The enviro crowd is treating this as Gotterdamerung, but I'm thinking it can't be all that bad. Such reform does allow the older industrial sites to renovate, remain economical and extend their lifetimes, but apparently the enviros had it in their mind that:

1.) these facilities would be closed down as a matter of course on our way to a brighter, cleaner, and happier tomorrow; and,
2.) that it was vital that such older facilities would HAVE to shut down, since there really are few options for cleaning up these facilities except by shutting them down.

Well, if the enviros are right, that we really have few tools to work with to clean things up, then we are in more trouble than even they imagine. Then the trouble is lack of tools, not lack of will. Indeed, on the automotive side, the 3-way-catalyst is still the really-big tool of the last forty years. Still, my suspicion is that we do have some tools, we just need to do a better job of implementing them. People hate working on details - people like the big-picture, and posing and preening. But posing never got anyone anywhere (not even fashion models). Industry is loathe to abandon old facilities, where so many dollars have been sunk, and we'll have to accept that reasoning. That means working on the details to keep the facilities clean.

In other air quality modeling news, in an article by Gale Hoffnagle in the A&WMA EM Journal, there is some indication that the AERMOD (PRIME) model (a more advanced model than ISCST) may finally win some kind of official status with EPA, with a reproposal announcement in a month or so, and final promulgation in six months. I remember attending the Jan. 1998 American Meteorological Society convention in Phoenix, where various knowledgeable nabobs assured me that promulgation would occur by October, 1998 at the latest. FIVE FREAKIN' YEARS later, EPA is inching towards its goal. Of course, science moves by leaps and bounds, leaving us sad chumps holding the bag once again with an outmoded model - but hey! at least our algorithms will date from 1992 or so, instead of from 1975!

MTBE In The Ground Water

I submitted this letter to the Sacramento Bee last week, but it hasn't been published yet - nor is it likely to. Nevertheless, I am outraged that this serious man-made public-health menace is still with us:
I was furious when I read Michael Kenny's letter (the Source of MTBE: January 13, 2003) that appeared to defend the role of the California Air Resources Board (ARB) in pushing the water-soluble oxygenate additive MTBE into California's gasoline in the early 90's. Toxic MTBE has since caused nothing but havoc for ground-water supplies across the state. As Kenny points out, the Bee's columnist Dan Walters made a minor error in his January 5th column (West Sac reflects tunnel vision among California public officials) when he asserted that ARB "decreed that refiners should add 'oxygenates' to gasoline to battle smog": that decree, of course, came from US EPA. But ARB did decide that the oxygenate of choice would be MTBE, not ethanol, and ARB had plentiful technical advice, available well in advance, that MTBE's water-solubility would prove a ground water disaster. And the stuff is STILL in the gasoline! The best ARB can plead is gross incompetence. To have Kenny trying to paper over ARB's role in this massive ground-water toxic dumping (something that would have been criminal if it had been done by anyone else), when he is now being appointed to the Sacramento County Superior Court, is ruinous to Sacramento County's reputation.

Just Another Of My Eclectic Interests

Who is Kylie Minogue? Just the MOST beautiful woman in the universe. Most Americans are unfamiliar with her, because her pop music career has been mostly confined to Australia, England, and Europe (although she did have a flash-in-the-pan hit in the USA with a remake of "Locomotion" in 1988), but last year she made some waves when her song "Can't Get You Out of My Head" reached #3 on the pop charts in the USA. So, since I'm a big fan of disco, house, and other pop dance music, and since, despite my interests, I knew nothing about her at all, I got her new CD, then her new DVD, then two more old CDs, then her even newer DVD (released Nov. 11th), and NOW, I'm a confirmed Kylie addict, and I can't imagine anything better than living in HER universe, FOREVER!

Let's see, there are a few Kylie Web Sites out there, including the opening number of her new DVD (I'm not as fond of the opening number as some of the others because it's a bit static, but at least you'll get the idea....)

Here is the opening number to her Manchester, UK concert, May 4, 2002.

Official Fan Web Site

Tuesday, January 21, 2003

George Zoritch Retrospectives

Here are a couple more retrospectives regarding George Zoritch and his work.

George Zoritch Picture

At this link is an interesting picture of my first ballet teacher, George Zoritch, currently retired in Tucson, AZ, in his glory days.

Saturday, January 18, 2003

Countdown to War - Or Not?

The political maneuvering continues, even to the point of tedium. It's unusual for wars to commence in this way, with steadily-increasing pressure being mounted on all the interested parties, with plenty of time for changes of position, and for reflection. Usually, events are in the saddle. In many ways, this run up to war is the most ideal way to begin, with copious debate (nevertheless, maybe not adequate debate, given the large number of important issues, and large numbers of unknowns to consider).

Today Slate features an article indicating that Saddam may be turning his wrath on the Kurds just as the Kurds lose importance in Washington's considerations. The Kurds have more to lose than just about anyone in Iraq, and they may feel the pain first. It is urgent, not the least for U.S. credibility, that the U.S. go to great lengths to protect the Kurds and Kurdish areas of northern Iraq, despite Turkish reservations.