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Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Covid-19 Looming More in Sacramento

Sacramento is getting a warning on hospital capacity:
A county is considered to meet the increasing hospitalization criteria if:

1) >10% increase in the average number of confirmed COVID-19 patients hospitalized

Percent change in confirmed COVID-19 patients hospitalized: Calculated by comparing the average number of laboratory confirmed COVID-19 patients hospitalized over the past 3 days to the 3 days prior.

...A county is considered to meet the limited hospital capacity if:

1) <20% of staffed ICU beds are available OR 2) <25% of ventilators are available


Apparently we are running into limitations:


Avg # tests per day (per 100,000 population) (7 day average with a 7 day lag)
% Change in 3-day avg COVID+ hospitalized patients
% ICU beds currently available

​Sacramento 141.5 28.8 13.9


The map looks interesting too. Oak Park looks much better now than two months ago. Even Rancho Cordova is beginning to clear - fewer new cases. I guess the people who were sick two months ago in those hot spots either died or got better. South Sacramento, Elk Grove, and north of Del Paso look like the hot spots now.

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