Florida Outlook

Currently it looks like rains will start increasing in the Tampa area from the Caribbean storm about mid-afternoon Saturday - about 2 p.m.

There are indications the tropical low in the Caribbean is strengthening. The models split on how much strengthening will occur. The NVG model suggests the system will become a tropical storm by Sunday evening, and hover for awhile off the Alabama coast before either coming onshore near Pensacola on Monday evening, or sliding west towards Houston, TX. The GFS model suggests the system will remain too broad to be anything but a tropical depression, so no tropical storm. Either way, the tropical moisture superhighway will span Florida the entire time.