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Thursday, August 30, 2007

Tropical Storm Gil

Named in honor of our director for "Pirates of Penzance"! (ed. - fact-check, please!)

Blowhard Gil appears beset by troubles, according to this analysis:
LATEST CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GIL HAS NOT STRENGTHENED. IN FACT...THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IMPLYING A POORLY ORGANIZED CYCLONE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE UNCHANGED AND SO IS THE INITIAL ADVISORY INTENSITY. GIL IS LOCATED WITHIN A RATHER HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT CONSISTING OF MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR AND A RELATIVELY STABLE AIR MASS. ADDITIONALLY...THERE ARE COOLER WATERS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. THESE FACTORS SHOULD LIMIT STRENGTHENING AND GIL IS LIKELY AT OR VERY NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALLOWS FOR A LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS THE DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM. THEREAFTER...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WITH GIL DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW IN 3 DAYS...IF NOT SOONER.

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